Giants vs Rams DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

DraftKings Showdown · Monday Night Football, September 21 · NFL Week 2 · By Chris Spags · Published September 19, 2026 · Numbers as of September 19, 3:36 PM ET

Puka Nacua carries the highest SPAGS model projection in Monday Night Football's Giants at Rams DraftKings Showdown slate: 19.3 DraftKings points at an $11,400 FLEX salary, or 28.9 at captain for $17,100. Jaxson Dart holds the largest share of simulated winning-lineup credit at 70% across 10,000 simulations, and Puka Nacua holds the largest captain share at 21.6%.

Behind Nacua, the next four projections are Jaxson Dart (17.9, $9,800), Matthew Stafford (17.6, $10,000), Kyren Williams (14.6, $9,600) and Cam Skattebo (13.4, $9,400). The Rams are a 7-point favorite in a game totaled at 47.5, with implied team totals of 27.25 for the Rams and 20.25 for the Giants.

Every projection below is a SPAGS model estimate from the September 19, 3:36 PM ET run of the Splash Play NFL model. Winning-lineup and captain credit come from 10,000 simulations of the Showdown contest, and tied winning entries share credit. A player's simulated floor is his 10th-percentile score and his ceiling is his 95th. Showdown lineups use one captain, who scores 1.5x at 1.5x salary, and five FLEX players.

Chris Spags' latest NFL DFS breakdown on the Splash Play NFL channel.

MNF Showdown captain picks: who the sim wins with

Captain: Puka Nacua, LAR WR ($11,400 FLEX / $17,100 CPT)

Puka Nacua holds 21.6% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain, more than any other player in this game. At captain he costs $17,100 and the 19.3-point SPAGS model projection becomes 28.9 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model gives him 8.9 targets on 25.4 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Nacua averaged 19.4 points with a simulated floor of 6.4 and a ceiling of 40.3. He holds 61% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 21.6% as the captain and 39.5% in a FLEX spot.

Captain: Jaxson Dart, NYG QB ($9,800 FLEX / $14,700 CPT)

Jaxson Dart holds 16.9% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain. At captain he costs $14,700 and the 17.9-point SPAGS model projection becomes 26.9 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model includes 6.0 rushing attempts. Across 10,000 simulations Dart averaged 17.9 points with a simulated floor of 7.0 and a ceiling of 32.5. He holds 70% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 16.9% as the captain and 52.7% in a FLEX spot.

Captain: Matthew Stafford, LAR QB ($10,000 FLEX / $15,000 CPT)

Matthew Stafford holds 13.3% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain. At captain he costs $15,000 and the 17.6-point SPAGS model projection becomes 26.5 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. Across 10,000 simulations Stafford averaged 17.6 points with a simulated floor of 6.8 and a ceiling of 32.6. He holds 66% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 13.3% as the captain and 53.0% in a FLEX spot.

Top FLEX projections for Giants vs Rams

Kyren Williams, LAR RB ($9,600 FLEX / $14,400 CPT)

Kyren Williams carries the 4th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 14.6 DraftKings points for a $9,600 FLEX salary ($14,400 at captain). The model gives him 14.4 carries and 2.3 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Williams averaged 14.6 points with a simulated floor of 5.6 and a ceiling of 28.1. He holds 47% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 10.0% as the captain and 37.5% in a FLEX spot.

Cam Skattebo, NYG RB ($9,400 FLEX / $14,100 CPT)

Cam Skattebo carries the 5th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 13.4 DraftKings points for a $9,400 FLEX salary ($14,100 at captain). The model gives him 12.1 carries and 3.8 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Skattebo averaged 13.4 points with a simulated floor of 5.2 and a ceiling of 26.2. He holds 41% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 6.0% as the captain and 35.2% in a FLEX spot.

Malik Nabers, NYG WR ($9,000 FLEX / $13,500 CPT)

Malik Nabers carries the 6th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 11.7 DraftKings points for a $9,000 FLEX salary ($13,500 at captain). The model gives him 7.5 targets on 22.5 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Nabers averaged 11.6 points with a simulated floor of 3.6 and a ceiling of 24.3. He holds 32% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 4.2% as the captain and 28.0% in a FLEX spot.

Davante Adams, LAR WR ($8,800 FLEX / $13,200 CPT)

Davante Adams carries the 7th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 11.2 DraftKings points for an $8,800 FLEX salary ($13,200 at captain). The model gives him 6.4 targets on 21.9 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Adams averaged 11.2 points with a simulated floor of 3.8 and a ceiling of 23.5. He holds 29% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 3.8% as the captain and 24.9% in a FLEX spot.

Showdown value plays at $5,000 and under

Value: Theo Johnson, NYG TE ($2,400 FLEX / $3,600 CPT)

Theo Johnson projects for 5.8 DraftKings points at a $2,400 FLEX salary, 2.42 projected points per $1,000. The model gives him 3.5 targets on 16.9 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Johnson averaged 5.8 points with a simulated floor of 1.4 and a ceiling of 13.5. He holds 16% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 0.6% as the captain and 14.9% in a FLEX spot.

Value: Devin Singletary, NYG RB ($3,000 FLEX / $4,500 CPT)

Devin Singletary projects for 7.2 DraftKings points at a $3,000 FLEX salary, 2.39 projected points per $1,000. The model gives him 5.9 carries and 1.6 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Singletary averaged 7.2 points with a simulated floor of 1.1 and a ceiling of 16.9. He holds 23% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 3.6% as the captain and 18.9% in a FLEX spot.

Giants vs Rams Showdown projections and sim results

The eight highest SPAGS model projections in the game, with each player's share of winning-lineup credit overall and as a captain.