About this NFL tool

NFL DFS Projections for DraftKings and FanDuel

Splash Play's NFL DFS tool is built by Chris Spags for DraftKings and FanDuel players. Every week of the season it posts SPAGS model projections for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, kickers and defenses, built from each player's workload, efficiency and game environment, with salaries and value for the main slate and Showdown games.

Search any player for his season stats, compare matchups, and see how the model ranks each position.

How the projections work: the model starts from each team's expected plays and implied points, splits targets, carries and dropbacks by role, and adjusts for the opponent. Injuries and depth-chart changes flow through the same team budgets, so a starter's absence shows up in his teammates' projections instead of disappearing.

Which membership has what: Squirt Squad covers matchup screens and projection matrices. Squirt Squad VIP adds SPAGS projections, exports and simulation results for every slate. Apex adds lineup browsing and the Portfolio Builder, which turns the simulations into a full set of lineups under your own exposure limits and exports it for DraftKings or FanDuel. Compare memberships.

Reading the numbers together: a projection forecasts fantasy points, ownership estimates how much of the field will roster a player, and a simulation result describes outcomes under the model's assumptions. A popular player can still be the right play, so use ownership to decide how much of him you want, not whether he is good. The field guide walks through loading your entries file, building and exporting.

Free weekly breakdowns: NFL DFS projections, picks and Showdown articles list the current week's main-slate projections by position and the Thursday, Sunday and Monday night DraftKings Showdown captain picks, salaries and projections. Watch Chris's breakdowns on YouTube, or see membership options.