Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays
Who are the best picks for the Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown?
Jalen Hurts carries the highest SPAGS model projection in Monday Night Football's Eagles at Bears DraftKings Showdown slate: 18.7 DraftKings points at a $10,800 FLEX salary, or 28.0 at captain for $16,200. Hurts holds the largest share of simulated winning-lineup credit at 72% across 100,000 simulations, including the largest captain share at 19.3%.
Behind Hurts, the next four projections are DeVonta Smith (16.9, $10,600), Saquon Barkley (15.9, $10,000), D'Andre Swift (14.1, $9,600) and Case Keenum (14.0, $8,400). Philadelphia is a 3.5-point favorite in a game totaled at 42.5, with implied team totals of 19.5 for the Bears and 23 for the Eagles.
Every projection below is a SPAGS model estimate from the September 28, 7:07 PM ET run of the Splash Play NFL model. Winning-lineup and captain credit come from 100,000 simulations of the Showdown contest, and tied winning entries share credit. A player's simulated floor is his 10th-percentile score and his ceiling is his 95th. Showdown lineups use one captain, who scores 1.5x at 1.5x salary, and five FLEX players.
Chris Spags' latest NFL DFS breakdown on the Splash Play NFL channel.
MNF Showdown captain picks: who the sim wins with
Captain: Jalen Hurts, PHI QB ($10,800 FLEX / $16,200 CPT)
Jalen Hurts holds 19.3% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain, more than any other player in this game. At captain he costs $16,200 and the 18.7-point SPAGS model projection becomes 28.0 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model includes 5.6 rushing attempts. The current projection of 18.7 compares with a saved model baseline of 17.9. Across 100,000 simulations Hurts averaged 18.6 points with a simulated floor of 7.3 and a ceiling of 33.8. He holds 72% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 19.3% as the captain and 53.2% in a FLEX spot.
Captain: DeVonta Smith, PHI WR ($10,600 FLEX / $15,900 CPT)
DeVonta Smith holds 16.3% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain. At captain he costs $15,900 and the 16.9-point SPAGS model projection becomes 25.3 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model gives him 9.1 targets on 31.3 routes. The current projection of 16.9 compares with a saved model baseline of 13.9. Across 100,000 simulations Smith averaged 16.9 points with a simulated floor of 5.7 and a ceiling of 35.2. He holds 56% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 16.3% as the captain and 39.3% in a FLEX spot.
Captain: Saquon Barkley, PHI RB ($10,000 FLEX / $15,000 CPT)
Saquon Barkley holds 15.6% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain. At captain he costs $15,000 and the 15.9-point SPAGS model projection becomes 23.8 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model gives him 17.3 carries and 2.1 targets. The current projection of 15.9 compares with a saved model baseline of 10.2. Across 100,000 simulations Barkley averaged 15.8 points with a simulated floor of 6.0 and a ceiling of 30.0. He holds 56% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 15.6% as the captain and 40.5% in a FLEX spot.
Top FLEX projections for Eagles vs Bears
D'Andre Swift, CHI RB ($9,600 FLEX / $14,400 CPT)
D'Andre Swift carries the 4th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 14.1 DraftKings points for a $9,600 FLEX salary ($14,400 at captain). The model gives him 14.5 carries and 2.8 targets. Across 100,000 simulations Swift averaged 14.0 points with a simulated floor of 4.7 and a ceiling of 29.1. He holds 47% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 11.8% as the captain and 35.2% in a FLEX spot.
Case Keenum, CHI QB ($8,400 FLEX / $12,600 CPT)
Case Keenum carries the 5th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 14.0 DraftKings points for an $8,400 FLEX salary ($12,600 at captain). The model includes 4.7 rushing attempts. The current projection of 14.0 compares with a saved model baseline of 0.0. Across 100,000 simulations Keenum averaged 14.0 points with a simulated floor of 5.5 and a ceiling of 25.7. He holds 55% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 6.9% as the captain and 47.7% in a FLEX spot.
Luther Burden III, CHI WR ($7,600 FLEX / $11,400 CPT)
Luther Burden III carries the 6th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 9.7 DraftKings points for a $7,600 FLEX salary ($11,400 at captain). The model gives him 6.1 targets on 24.2 routes. Across 100,000 simulations Burden averaged 9.7 points with a simulated floor of 2.7 and a ceiling of 21.9. He holds 27% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 3.6% as the captain and 22.9% in a FLEX spot.
Dontayvion Wicks, PHI WR ($4,400 FLEX / $6,600 CPT)
Dontayvion Wicks carries the 7th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 9.7 DraftKings points for a $4,400 FLEX salary ($6,600 at captain). The model gives him 5.6 targets on 24.9 routes. The current projection of 9.7 compares with a saved model baseline of 7.6. Across 100,000 simulations Wicks averaged 9.7 points with a simulated floor of 2.7 and a ceiling of 21.2. He holds 35% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 4.1% as the captain and 31.2% in a FLEX spot.
Showdown value plays at $5,000 and under
Value: Kalif Raymond, CHI WR ($3,800 FLEX / $5,700 CPT)
Kalif Raymond projects for 8.0 DraftKings points at a $3,800 FLEX salary, 2.09 projected points per $1,000. The model gives him 5.0 targets on 24.8 routes. The current projection of 8.0 compares with a saved model baseline of 9.7. Across 100,000 simulations Raymond averaged 7.9 points with a simulated floor of 0.7 and a ceiling of 19.7. He holds 27% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 3.2% as the captain and 23.4% in a FLEX spot.
Value: Jake Elliott, PHI K ($4,800 FLEX / $7,200 CPT)
Jake Elliott projects for 8.6 DraftKings points at a $4,800 FLEX salary, 1.80 projected points per $1,000. Across 100,000 simulations Elliott averaged 8.6 points with a simulated floor of 4.0 and a ceiling of 16.0. He holds 26% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 1.1% as the captain and 25.3% in a FLEX spot.
Eagles vs Bears Showdown projections and sim results
The eight highest SPAGS model projections in the game, with each player's share of winning-lineup credit overall and as a captain.
| Player | Team | Pos | FLEX | CPT | SPAGS model proj | Winning-lineup credit | As captain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | QB | $10,800 | $16,200 | 18.7 | 72% | 19.3% |
| DeVonta Smith | PHI | WR | $10,600 | $15,900 | 16.9 | 56% | 16.3% |
| Saquon Barkley | PHI | RB | $10,000 | $15,000 | 15.9 | 56% | 15.6% |
| D'Andre Swift | CHI | RB | $9,600 | $14,400 | 14.1 | 47% | 11.8% |
| Case Keenum | CHI | QB | $8,400 | $12,600 | 14.0 | 55% | 6.9% |
| Luther Burden III | CHI | WR | $7,600 | $11,400 | 9.7 | 27% | 3.6% |
| Dontayvion Wicks | PHI | WR | $4,400 | $6,600 | 9.7 | 35% | 4.1% |
| Rome Odunze | CHI | WR | $7,400 | $11,100 | 9.6 | 26% | 3.5% |
Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown salaries and projections (all players)
Every player on the Eagles at Bears DraftKings Showdown slate with a SPAGS model projection, ranked by projected points. Captain salary is 1.5x FLEX and scores 1.5x points.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | FLEX salary | CPT salary | SPAGS proj | CPT proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Hurts | PHI | QB | $10,800 | $16,200 | 18.7 | 28.0 | 1.73 |
| 2 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | WR | $10,600 | $15,900 | 16.9 | 25.3 | 1.59 |
| 3 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | RB | $10,000 | $15,000 | 15.9 | 23.8 | 1.59 |
| 4 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | RB | $9,600 | $14,400 | 14.1 | 21.1 | 1.47 |
| 5 | Case Keenum | CHI | QB | $8,400 | $12,600 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 1.67 |
| 6 | Luther Burden III | CHI | WR | $7,600 | $11,400 | 9.7 | 14.5 | 1.27 |
| 7 | Dontayvion Wicks | PHI | WR | $4,400 | $6,600 | 9.7 | 14.5 | 2.20 |
| 8 | Rome Odunze | CHI | WR | $7,400 | $11,100 | 9.6 | 14.4 | 1.30 |
| 9 | Colston Loveland | CHI | TE | $7,000 | $10,500 | 8.9 | 13.4 | 1.28 |
| 10 | Jake Elliott | PHI | K | $4,800 | $7,200 | 8.6 | 12.9 | 1.80 |
| 11 | Eagles | PHI | DST | $5,200 | $7,800 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 1.54 |
| 12 | Cairo Santos | CHI | K | $4,600 | $6,900 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 1.74 |
| 13 | Kalif Raymond | CHI | WR | $3,800 | $5,700 | 8.0 | 11.9 | 2.09 |
| 14 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | RB | $5,600 | $8,400 | 7.5 | 11.2 | 1.34 |
| 15 | Makai Lemon | PHI | WR | $4,200 | $6,300 | 7.0 | 10.4 | 1.66 |
| 16 | Bears | CHI | DST | $4,000 | $6,000 | 6.8 | 10.2 | 1.70 |
| 17 | Zach Ertz | PHI | TE | $2,600 | $3,900 | 3.7 | 5.6 | 1.44 |
| 18 | Johnny Mundt | PHI | TE | $2,200 | $3,300 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 1.57 |
| 19 | Cole Kmet | CHI | TE | $3,000 | $4,500 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 0.94 |
| 20 | Will Shipley | PHI | RB | $3,400 | $5,100 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 0.67 |
| 21 | Darius Cooper | PHI | WR | $2,000 | $3,000 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.00 |
| 22 | Tank Bigsby | PHI | RB | $5,000 | $7,500 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.40 |
| 23 | Sam Roush | CHI | TE | $600 | $900 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.98 |
| 24 | E.J. Jenkins | PHI | TE | $1,600 | $2,400 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.09 |
| 25 | Jahdae Walker | CHI | WR | $2,400 | $3,600 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.58 |
| 26 | Britain Covey | PHI | WR | $800 | $1,200 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.15 |
| 27 | Roschon Johnson | CHI | RB | $1,400 | $2,100 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.09 |
| 28 | Zavion Thomas | CHI | WR | $1,200 | $1,800 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.09 |
Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown FAQ
Who is the best captain for the Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown?
Jalen Hurts holds the largest captain share of simulated winning lineups at 19.3%, ahead of DeVonta Smith (16.3%) and Saquon Barkley (15.6%), across 100,000 simulations.
Who has the highest projection in Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown?
Jalen Hurts leads the SPAGS model at 18.7 DraftKings points for $10,800 at FLEX, or 28.0 points at captain for $16,200.
What are the DraftKings salaries for Eagles vs Bears Showdown?
Jalen Hurts is the most expensive player at $10,800 FLEX and $16,200 at captain. All 28 players with a SPAGS projection are listed above with FLEX salary, captain salary and projection.
What are the best value plays in Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown?
At $5,000 and under, the best projected points per $1,000 belong to Dontayvion Wicks (9.7 points at $4,400), Kalif Raymond (8.0 points at $3,800) and Jake Elliott (8.6 points at $4,800).
What is the Eagles vs Bears spread and total?
The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in a game totaled at 42.5, with implied team totals of 23 for the Eagles and 19.5 for the Bears.
More NFL DFS: Week 3 DraftKings main slate picks and projections.
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