Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays
Jalen Hurts carries the highest SPAGS model projection in Monday Night Football's Eagles at Bears DraftKings Showdown slate: 17.9 DraftKings points at a $10,800 FLEX salary, or 26.8 at captain for $16,200. Hurts holds the largest share of simulated winning-lineup credit at 86% across 10,000 simulations, including the largest captain share at 27.2%.
Behind Hurts, the next four projections are Caleb Williams (16.2, $10,400), DeVonta Smith (14.0, $10,600), D'Andre Swift (13.8, $9,600) and Saquon Barkley (10.4, $10,000). Philadelphia is a 4.5-point favorite in a game totaled at 41.5, with implied team totals of 18.5 for the Bears and 23 for the Eagles.
Every projection below is a SPAGS model estimate from the September 25, 4:23 PM ET run of the Splash Play NFL model. Winning-lineup and captain credit come from 10,000 simulations of the Showdown contest, and tied winning entries share credit. A player's simulated floor is his 10th-percentile score and his ceiling is his 95th. Showdown lineups use one captain, who scores 1.5x at 1.5x salary, and five FLEX players.
Chris Spags' latest NFL DFS breakdown on the Splash Play NFL channel.
MNF Showdown captain picks: who the sim wins with
Captain: Jalen Hurts, PHI QB ($10,800 FLEX / $16,200 CPT)
Jalen Hurts holds 27.2% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain, more than any other player in this game. At captain he costs $16,200 and the 17.9-point SPAGS model projection becomes 26.8 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model includes 5.6 rushing attempts. Across 10,000 simulations Hurts averaged 17.7 points with a simulated floor of 6.5 and a ceiling of 32.5. He holds 86% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 27.2% as the captain and 58.9% in a FLEX spot.
Captain: D'Andre Swift, CHI RB ($9,600 FLEX / $14,400 CPT)
D'Andre Swift holds 14.0% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain. At captain he costs $14,400 and the 13.8-point SPAGS model projection becomes 20.8 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model gives him 14.0 carries and 3.1 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Swift averaged 13.8 points with a simulated floor of 5.2 and a ceiling of 26.8. He holds 65% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 14.0% as the captain and 51.5% in a FLEX spot.
Captain: DeVonta Smith, PHI WR ($10,600 FLEX / $15,900 CPT)
DeVonta Smith holds 12.5% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain. At captain he costs $15,900 and the 14.0-point SPAGS model projection becomes 21.0 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model gives him 7.7 targets on 28.8 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Smith averaged 13.8 points with a simulated floor of 4.6 and a ceiling of 29.2. He holds 65% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 12.5% as the captain and 52.3% in a FLEX spot.
Top FLEX projections for Eagles vs Bears
Caleb Williams, CHI QB ($10,400 FLEX / $15,600 CPT)
Caleb Williams carries the 2nd-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 16.2 DraftKings points for a $10,400 FLEX salary ($15,600 at captain). The model includes 4.3 rushing attempts. Across 10,000 simulations Williams averaged 16.1 points with a simulated floor of 6.3 and a ceiling of 29.8. He holds 0% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 0.0% as the captain and 0.0% in a FLEX spot.
Saquon Barkley, PHI RB ($10,000 FLEX / $15,000 CPT)
Saquon Barkley carries the 5th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 10.4 DraftKings points for a $10,000 FLEX salary ($15,000 at captain). The model gives him 12.0 carries and 1.6 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Barkley averaged 10.3 points with a simulated floor of 1.5 and a ceiling of 29.6. He holds 37% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 8.3% as the captain and 28.7% in a FLEX spot.
Luther Burden III, CHI WR ($7,600 FLEX / $11,400 CPT)
Luther Burden III carries the 6th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 9.8 DraftKings points for a $7,600 FLEX salary ($11,400 at captain). The model gives him 5.8 targets on 22.0 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Burden averaged 9.9 points with a simulated floor of 1.8 and a ceiling of 24.7. He holds 37% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 7.6% as the captain and 29.5% in a FLEX spot.
Kalif Raymond, CHI WR ($3,800 FLEX / $5,700 CPT)
Kalif Raymond carries the 7th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 9.7 DraftKings points for a $3,800 FLEX salary ($5,700 at captain). The model gives him 5.8 targets on 21.1 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Raymond averaged 9.7 points with a simulated floor of 1.9 and a ceiling of 24.3. He holds 38% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 5.7% as the captain and 31.8% in a FLEX spot.
Showdown value plays at $5,000 and under
Value: Jake Elliott, PHI K ($4,800 FLEX / $7,200 CPT)
Jake Elliott projects for 8.6 DraftKings points at a $4,800 FLEX salary, 1.80 projected points per $1,000. Across 10,000 simulations Elliott averaged 8.6 points with a simulated floor of 3.0 and a ceiling of 17.0. He holds 33% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 1.3% as the captain and 31.7% in a FLEX spot.
Value: Dontayvion Wicks, PHI WR ($4,400 FLEX / $6,600 CPT)
Dontayvion Wicks projects for 7.6 DraftKings points at a $4,400 FLEX salary, 1.73 projected points per $1,000. The model gives him 4.4 targets on 22.2 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Wicks averaged 7.7 points with a simulated floor of 1.3 and a ceiling of 19.4. He holds 26% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 2.3% as the captain and 24.0% in a FLEX spot.
Eagles vs Bears Showdown projections and sim results
The eight highest SPAGS model projections in the game, with each player's share of winning-lineup credit overall and as a captain.
| Player | Team | Pos | FLEX | CPT | SPAGS model proj | Winning-lineup credit | As captain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | QB | $10,800 | $16,200 | 17.9 | 86% | 27.2% |
| Caleb Williams | CHI | QB | $10,400 | $15,600 | 16.2 | 0% | 0.0% |
| DeVonta Smith | PHI | WR | $10,600 | $15,900 | 14.0 | 65% | 12.5% |
| D'Andre Swift | CHI | RB | $9,600 | $14,400 | 13.8 | 65% | 14.0% |
| Saquon Barkley | PHI | RB | $10,000 | $15,000 | 10.4 | 37% | 8.3% |
| Luther Burden III | CHI | WR | $7,600 | $11,400 | 9.8 | 37% | 7.6% |
| Kalif Raymond | CHI | WR | $3,800 | $5,700 | 9.7 | 38% | 5.7% |
| Jake Elliott | PHI | K | $4,800 | $7,200 | 8.6 | 33% | 1.3% |
Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown salaries and projections (all players)
Every player on the Eagles at Bears DraftKings Showdown slate with a SPAGS model projection, ranked by projected points. Captain salary is 1.5x FLEX and scores 1.5x points.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | FLEX salary | CPT salary | SPAGS proj | CPT proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Hurts | PHI | QB | $10,800 | $16,200 | 17.9 | 26.8 | 1.65 |
| 2 | Caleb Williams | CHI | QB | $10,400 | $15,600 | 16.2 | 24.3 | 1.56 |
| 3 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | WR | $10,600 | $15,900 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 1.32 |
| 4 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | RB | $9,600 | $14,400 | 13.8 | 20.8 | 1.44 |
| 5 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | RB | $10,000 | $15,000 | 10.4 | 15.6 | 1.04 |
| 6 | Luther Burden III | CHI | WR | $7,600 | $11,400 | 9.8 | 14.8 | 1.29 |
| 7 | Kalif Raymond | CHI | WR | $3,800 | $5,700 | 9.7 | 14.5 | 2.55 |
| 8 | Jake Elliott | PHI | K | $4,800 | $7,200 | 8.6 | 12.9 | 1.80 |
| 9 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | RB | $5,600 | $8,400 | 8.6 | 12.8 | 1.53 |
| 10 | Eagles | PHI | DST | $5,200 | $7,800 | 7.8 | 11.8 | 1.51 |
| 11 | Cairo Santos | CHI | K | $4,600 | $6,900 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 1.70 |
| 12 | Dontayvion Wicks | PHI | WR | $4,400 | $6,600 | 7.6 | 11.4 | 1.73 |
| 13 | Rome Odunze | CHI | WR | $7,400 | $11,100 | 7.4 | 11.1 | 1.00 |
| 14 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | TE | $6,600 | $9,900 | 6.9 | 10.4 | 1.05 |
| 15 | Bears | CHI | DST | $4,000 | $6,000 | 6.8 | 10.1 | 1.69 |
| 16 | Colston Loveland | CHI | TE | $7,000 | $10,500 | 6.6 | 9.8 | 0.94 |
| 17 | Makai Lemon | PHI | WR | $4,200 | $6,300 | 5.5 | 8.3 | 1.31 |
| 18 | Will Shipley | PHI | RB | $3,400 | $5,100 | 5.5 | 8.2 | 1.61 |
| 19 | Tank Bigsby | PHI | RB | $5,000 | $7,500 | 5.3 | 7.9 | 1.06 |
| 20 | Cole Kmet | CHI | TE | $3,000 | $4,500 | 4.5 | 6.8 | 1.51 |
| 21 | Hollywood Brown | PHI | WR | $2,800 | $4,200 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 1.23 |
| 22 | Jahdae Walker | CHI | WR | $2,400 | $3,600 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 1.21 |
| 23 | Darius Cooper | PHI | WR | $2,000 | $3,000 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 1.22 |
| 24 | Johnny Mundt | PHI | TE | $2,200 | $3,300 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 1.08 |
| 25 | Sam Roush | CHI | TE | $600 | $900 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 3.52 |
| 26 | E.J. Jenkins | PHI | TE | $1,600 | $2,400 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.67 |
| 27 | Roschon Johnson | CHI | RB | $1,400 | $2,100 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.14 |
| 28 | Zavion Thomas | CHI | WR | $1,200 | $1,800 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.17 |
Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown FAQ
Who is the best captain for the Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown?
Jalen Hurts holds the largest captain share of simulated winning lineups at 27.2%, ahead of D'Andre Swift (14.0%) and DeVonta Smith (12.5%), across 10,000 simulations.
Who has the highest projection in Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown?
Jalen Hurts leads the SPAGS model at 17.9 DraftKings points for $10,800 at FLEX, or 26.8 points at captain for $16,200.
What are the DraftKings salaries for Eagles vs Bears Showdown?
Jalen Hurts is the most expensive player at $10,800 FLEX and $16,200 at captain. All 28 players with a SPAGS projection are listed above with FLEX salary, captain salary and projection.
What are the best value plays in Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown?
At $5,000 and under, the best projected points per $1,000 belong to Kalif Raymond (9.7 points at $3,800), Jake Elliott (8.6 points at $4,800) and Dontayvion Wicks (7.6 points at $4,400).
What is the Eagles vs Bears spread and total?
The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in a game totaled at 41.5, with implied team totals of 23 for the Eagles and 18.5 for the Bears.
More NFL DFS: Week 3 DraftKings main slate picks and projections.
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