Cowboys vs Eagles DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays
Who are the best picks for the Cowboys vs Eagles DraftKings Showdown?
CeeDee Lamb has the highest SPAGS projection in the Cowboys at Eagles DraftKings Showdown: 18.8 points at $11,000 FLEX, 28.2 at captain for $16,500. Across 10,000 simulations Lamb holds 51% of the winning-lineup credit. Dak Prescott holds the most, at 60%. The case against Lamb is his range, not his role: a simulated floor of 5.6 points at an $11,000 FLEX salary, in a game with a 44.5-point total.
He also has the largest captain share: 15.4% of the simulated winning-lineup credit comes with Lamb at captain. DeVonta Smith is the next captain in line, at 13.5%. The model gives him 8.4 targets on 30.8 routes.
Dallas is a 4.5-point favorite, and the implied totals are 24.5 for the Cowboys and 20 for the Eagles.
Behind Lamb and Smith, the next projections are Dak Prescott (18.3, $10,400), Javonte Williams (16.3, $10,600) and Tanner McKee (14.4, $8,600).
Every projection below is a SPAGS model estimate from the October 24, 11:34 AM ET run of the Splash Play NFL model. Winning-lineup and captain credit come from 10,000 simulations of the Showdown contest, and tied winning entries share credit. A player's simulated floor is his 10th-percentile score and his ceiling is his 95th. Showdown lineups use one captain, who scores 1.5x at 1.5x salary, and five FLEX players.
Chris Spags' latest NFL DFS breakdown on the Splash Play NFL channel.
MNF Showdown captain picks: who the sim wins with
Captain: CeeDee Lamb, DAL WR ($11,000 FLEX / $16,500 CPT)
CeeDee Lamb holds 15.4% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain, more than any other player in this game. At captain he costs $16,500 and the 18.8-point SPAGS model projection becomes 28.2 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model gives him 9.8 targets on 36.2 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Lamb averaged 18.7 points with a simulated floor of 5.6 and a ceiling of 43.7. He holds 51% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 15.4% as the captain and 35.7% in a FLEX spot.
Captain: DeVonta Smith, PHI WR ($9,800 FLEX / $14,700 CPT)
DeVonta Smith holds 13.5% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain. At captain he costs $14,700 and the 15.6-point SPAGS model projection becomes 23.4 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model gives him 8.4 targets on 30.8 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Smith averaged 15.6 points with a simulated floor of 3.1 and a ceiling of 40.8. He holds 41% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 13.5% as the captain and 27.7% in a FLEX spot.
Captain: George Pickens, DAL WR ($9,000 FLEX / $13,500 CPT)
George Pickens holds 12.4% of the simulated winning-lineup credit as a captain. At captain he costs $13,500 and the 14.4-point SPAGS model projection becomes 21.6 with the 1.5x captain multiplier. The model gives him 7.2 targets on 37.1 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Pickens averaged 14.4 points with a simulated floor of 2.0 and a ceiling of 39.4. He holds 39% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 12.4% as the captain and 26.2% in a FLEX spot.
Cowboys vs Eagles DraftKings Showdown lineup core from the sim
Out of the 5,141 lineups in Chris Spags' MNF Showdown pool, the one that won the most simulations (11 of 10,000 simulated contests against a modeled 237,812-entry field) is built around this captain and these three FLEX plays.
| Slot | Player | Team | Pos | Salary | SPAGS proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPT | Dallas Goedert | PHI | TE | $9,600 | 16.4 |
| FLEX | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | WR | $11,000 | 18.8 |
| FLEX | Dak Prescott | DAL | QB | $10,400 | 18.3 |
| FLEX | DeVonta Smith | PHI | WR | $9,800 | 15.6 |
| Core total | $40,800 | 69.1 |
That leaves $9,200 of the $50,000 cap for the last two FLEX spots.
Contrarian captain pivot: Saquon Barkley at $14,400, outside the sim's top three captains. The best lineup in the pool with that captain won 9 of 10,000 simulated contests.
Take these picks into your own build. The complete lineups, all 5,141 of them with simulated win rates, are in the Splash Play NFL tool for Apex members. Apex gives you NFL lineup browsing and portfolio building: compare lineup options, build for your entries, review player exposures and export for DraftKings or FanDuel. Build with Apex →
Top FLEX projections for Cowboys vs Eagles
Dak Prescott, DAL QB ($10,400 FLEX / $15,600 CPT)
Dak Prescott carries the 2nd-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 18.3 DraftKings points for a $10,400 FLEX salary ($15,600 at captain). Across 10,000 simulations Prescott averaged 18.3 points with a simulated floor of 5.9 and a ceiling of 37.7. He holds 60% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 10.4% as the captain and 49.3% in a FLEX spot.
Javonte Williams, DAL RB ($10,600 FLEX / $15,900 CPT)
Javonte Williams carries the 3rd-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 16.3 DraftKings points for a $10,600 FLEX salary ($15,900 at captain). The model gives him 16.9 carries and 2.7 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Williams averaged 16.3 points with a simulated floor of 5.3 and a ceiling of 34.9. He holds 46% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 11.2% as the captain and 35.0% in a FLEX spot.
Tanner McKee, PHI QB ($8,600 FLEX / $12,900 CPT)
Tanner McKee carries the 5th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 14.4 DraftKings points for an $8,600 FLEX salary ($12,900 at captain). Across 10,000 simulations McKee averaged 14.4 points with a simulated floor of 4.5 and a ceiling of 28.2. He holds 49% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 5.2% as the captain and 44.3% in a FLEX spot.
Saquon Barkley, PHI RB ($9,600 FLEX / $14,400 CPT)
Saquon Barkley carries the 7th-highest SPAGS model projection in the game at 14.0 DraftKings points for a $9,600 FLEX salary ($14,400 at captain). The model gives him 12.4 carries and 1.5 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Barkley averaged 13.9 points with a simulated floor of 3.7 and a ceiling of 32.1. He holds 40% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 9.6% as the captain and 30.0% in a FLEX spot.
Showdown value plays at $5,000 and under
Value: Ryan Flournoy, DAL WR ($5,000 FLEX / $7,500 CPT)
Ryan Flournoy projects for 8.8 DraftKings points at a $5,000 FLEX salary, 1.76 projected points per $1,000. The model gives him 5.3 targets on 32.4 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Flournoy averaged 8.7 points with a simulated floor of 1.8 and a ceiling of 20.0. He holds 30% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 2.6% as the captain and 27.2% in a FLEX spot.
Value: Makai Lemon, PHI WR ($3,800 FLEX / $5,700 CPT)
Makai Lemon projects for 6.3 DraftKings points at a $3,800 FLEX salary, 1.66 projected points per $1,000. The model gives him 4.1 targets on 29.5 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Lemon averaged 6.3 points with a simulated floor of 0.0 and a ceiling of 18.9. He holds 23% of the simulated winning-lineup credit: 1.7% as the captain and 20.8% in a FLEX spot.
Cowboys vs Eagles Showdown projections and sim results
The eight highest SPAGS model projections in the game, with each player's share of winning-lineup credit overall and as a captain.
| Player | Team | Pos | FLEX | CPT | SPAGS model proj | Winning-lineup credit | As captain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | WR | $11,000 | $16,500 | 18.8 | 51% | 15.4% |
| Dak Prescott | DAL | QB | $10,400 | $15,600 | 18.3 | 60% | 10.4% |
| Javonte Williams | DAL | RB | $10,600 | $15,900 | 16.3 | 46% | 11.2% |
| DeVonta Smith | PHI | WR | $9,800 | $14,700 | 15.6 | 41% | 13.5% |
| Tanner McKee | PHI | QB | $8,600 | $12,900 | 14.4 | 49% | 5.2% |
| George Pickens | DAL | WR | $9,000 | $13,500 | 14.4 | 39% | 12.4% |
| Saquon Barkley | PHI | RB | $9,600 | $14,400 | 14.0 | 40% | 9.6% |
| Dallas Goedert | PHI | TE | $6,400 | $9,600 | 10.9 | 35% | 6.7% |
Cowboys vs Eagles DraftKings Showdown salaries and projections (all players)
Every player on the Cowboys at Eagles DraftKings Showdown slate with a SPAGS model projection, ranked by projected points. Captain salary is 1.5x FLEX and scores 1.5x points.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | FLEX salary | CPT salary | SPAGS proj | CPT proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | WR | $11,000 | $16,500 | 18.8 | 28.2 | 1.71 |
| 2 | Dak Prescott | DAL | QB | $10,400 | $15,600 | 18.3 | 27.5 | 1.76 |
| 3 | Javonte Williams | DAL | RB | $10,600 | $15,900 | 16.3 | 24.4 | 1.53 |
| 4 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | WR | $9,800 | $14,700 | 15.6 | 23.4 | 1.59 |
| 5 | Tanner McKee | PHI | QB | $8,600 | $12,900 | 14.4 | 21.6 | 1.67 |
| 6 | George Pickens | DAL | WR | $9,000 | $13,500 | 14.4 | 21.6 | 1.60 |
| 7 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | RB | $9,600 | $14,400 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 1.46 |
| 8 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | TE | $6,400 | $9,600 | 10.9 | 16.4 | 1.70 |
| 9 | Ryan Flournoy | DAL | WR | $5,000 | $7,500 | 8.8 | 13.2 | 1.76 |
| 10 | Brandon Aubrey | DAL | K | $5,400 | $8,100 | 8.6 | 12.9 | 1.59 |
| 11 | Jake Elliott | PHI | K | $4,800 | $7,200 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 1.62 |
| 12 | Dontayvion Wicks | PHI | WR | $5,800 | $8,700 | 7.7 | 11.6 | 1.33 |
| 13 | Dameon Pierce | PHI | RB | $7,600 | $11,400 | 6.9 | 10.3 | 0.91 |
| 14 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | TE | $4,400 | $6,600 | 6.5 | 9.7 | 1.47 |
| 15 | Makai Lemon | PHI | WR | $3,800 | $5,700 | 6.3 | 9.5 | 1.66 |
| 16 | Cowboys | DAL | DST | $4,000 | $6,000 | 5.7 | 8.6 | 1.43 |
| 17 | Eagles | PHI | DST | $3,400 | $5,100 | 4.8 | 7.2 | 1.41 |
| 18 | Darius Cooper | PHI | WR | $3,200 | $4,800 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 0.88 |
| 19 | Brevyn Spann-Ford | DAL | TE | $1,800 | $2,700 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 1.50 |
| 20 | Tyler Goodson | DAL | RB | $2,000 | $3,000 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 1.26 |
| 21 | Jonathan Mingo | DAL | WR | $1,000 | $1,500 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 2.36 |
| 22 | Emari Demercado | DAL | RB | $1,400 | $2,100 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.94 |
| 23 | Hunter Luepke | DAL | RB | $400 | $600 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.90 |
| 24 | Johnny Mundt | PHI | TE | $1,600 | $2,400 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.68 |
| 25 | Luke Schoonmaker | DAL | TE | $600 | $900 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 26 | Elijah Moore | PHI | WR | $800 | $1,200 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.68 |
Cowboys vs Eagles DraftKings Showdown FAQ
Who is the best captain for the Cowboys vs Eagles DraftKings Showdown?
CeeDee Lamb holds the largest captain share of simulated winning lineups at 15.4%, ahead of DeVonta Smith (13.5%) and George Pickens (12.4%), across 10,000 simulations.
What is the best DraftKings Showdown lineup for Cowboys vs Eagles?
Build around Dallas Goedert at captain with CeeDee Lamb, Dak Prescott and DeVonta Smith at FLEX. That is the core of the lineup that won the most simulations in Chris Spags' pool (11 of 10,000 simulated contests), and it leaves $9,200 for the last two FLEX spots.
Who has the highest projection in Cowboys vs Eagles DraftKings Showdown?
CeeDee Lamb leads the SPAGS model at 18.8 DraftKings points for $11,000 at FLEX, or 28.2 points at captain for $16,500.
What are the DraftKings salaries for Cowboys vs Eagles Showdown?
CeeDee Lamb is the most expensive player at $11,000 FLEX and $16,500 at captain. All 26 players with a SPAGS projection are listed above with FLEX salary, captain salary and projection.
What are the best value plays in Cowboys vs Eagles DraftKings Showdown?
At $5,000 and under, the best projected points per $1,000 belong to Ryan Flournoy (8.8 points at $5,000), Makai Lemon (6.3 points at $3,800) and Jake Elliott (7.8 points at $4,800).
What is the Cowboys vs Eagles spread and total?
The Cowboys are a 4.5-point favorite in a game totaled at 44.5, with implied team totals of 24.5 for the Cowboys and 20 for the Eagles.
Where can I get DraftKings NFL DFS projections and simulations?
Splash Play, built by Chris Spags, offers DraftKings NFL DFS projections, simulation results and lineup tools. The weekly articles include free SPAGS projections. VIP opens the in-app SPAGS projection table, CSV exports and simulation results. Apex adds lineup browsing and portfolio building for your entries, player-exposure review and DraftKings or FanDuel export. Squirt Squad includes matchup research. Player search and historical stats are free. Compare Splash Play plans →
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