NFL DFS Projections Week 7: DraftKings Picks, Values and Sim Plays
Who are the top DraftKings NFL DFS plays in Week 7?
Jahmyr Gibbs carries the highest SPAGS model projection on the Week 7 DraftKings main slate: 30.6 DraftKings points at $9,800. He holds 29% of the simulated winning-lineup credit across 10,000 simulations. Christian McCaffrey holds the largest share at 40% for $7,600.
Behind Gibbs, the model's next four projections are Puka Nacua (23.9, $8,400), Christian McCaffrey (23.4, $7,600), Bijan Robinson (23.2, $8,500) and Kyren Williams (21.3, $7,000). Jahmyr Gibbs returns the most per dollar of that group at 3.13 projected points per $1,000. Puka Nacua leads the wide receivers at 23.9 for $8,400, Jared Goff leads the quarterbacks at 20.3 for $6,800, and George Kittle leads the tight ends at 17.5 for $5,700.
The 10-game slate runs from a 52.5-point total in GB at DET down to 38.5 in CLE at TEN. Every projection below is a SPAGS model estimate from the October 20, 11:53 PM ET run of the Splash Play NFL model. Winning-lineup credit comes from 10,000 simulations of the contest, and tied winning entries share credit. A player's simulated floor is his 10th-percentile score and his ceiling is his 95th.
Chris Spags' latest NFL DFS breakdown on the Splash Play NFL channel.
Top 5 SPAGS model projections for Week 7 (DraftKings)
| Player | Team | Pos | Salary | SPAGS model proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | RB | $9,800 | 30.6 |
| Puka Nacua | LAR | WR | $8,400 | 23.9 |
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | RB | $7,600 | 23.4 |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | RB | $8,500 | 23.2 |
| Kyren Williams | LAR | RB | $7,000 | 21.3 |
Quarterbacks: Week 7 DraftKings projections
Jared Goff, DET vs GB ($6,800)
Jared Goff carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 20.3 DraftKings points at $6,800. That is 0.2 points clear of Brock Purdy. The salary works out to 2.99 projected points per $1,000, 11th of 17 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Goff averaged 20.4 points with a simulated floor of 7.9 and a ceiling of 37.8, and he holds 7% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Detroit is a 3-point favorite at home against Green Bay, with an implied team total of 27.75 in a game totaled at 52.5.
Brock Purdy, SF at ATL ($6,600)
Brock Purdy projects 2nd at the position with 20.2 DraftKings points at $6,600. The model includes 4.2 rushing attempts. The salary works out to 3.06 projected points per $1,000, 7th of 17 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Purdy averaged 20.2 points with a simulated floor of 7.7 and a ceiling of 36.8, and he holds 5% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. San Francisco is a 4.5-point favorite on the road against Atlanta, with an implied team total of 27.5 in a game totaled at 50.5.
Value: Bo Nix, DEN at ARI ($5,000)
Bo Nix projects for 17.6 DraftKings points at $5,000, which works out to 3.52 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 17 quarterbacks the model projects for 15 or more points. The model includes 3.7 rushing attempts. Across 10,000 simulations Nix averaged 17.6 points with a simulated floor of 6.9 and a ceiling of 32.4, and he holds 10% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Denver is a 4.5-point favorite on the road against Arizona, with an implied team total of 24 in a game totaled at 43.5.
Running backs: Week 7 DraftKings projections
Jahmyr Gibbs, DET vs GB ($9,800)
Jahmyr Gibbs carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 30.6 DraftKings points at $9,800, the highest on the entire main slate. That is 7.2 points clear of Christian McCaffrey. The model gives him 22.5 carries and 5.6 targets. The salary works out to 3.13 projected points per $1,000, 1st of 19 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Gibbs averaged 30.8 points with a simulated floor of 18.5 and a ceiling of 46.5, and he holds 29% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Detroit is a 3-point favorite at home against Green Bay, with an implied team total of 27.75 in a game totaled at 52.5.
Christian McCaffrey, SF at ATL ($7,600)
Christian McCaffrey projects 2nd at the position with 23.4 DraftKings points at $7,600, 3rd on the main slate overall. The model gives him 14.2 carries and 6.7 targets. The salary works out to 3.08 projected points per $1,000, 2nd of 19 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations McCaffrey averaged 23.6 points with a simulated floor of 11.5 and a ceiling of 39.6, and he holds 40% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. San Francisco is a 4.5-point favorite on the road against Atlanta, with an implied team total of 27.5 in a game totaled at 50.5.
Bijan Robinson, ATL vs SF ($8,500)
Bijan Robinson projects 3rd at the position with 23.2 DraftKings points at $8,500, 4th on the main slate overall. The model gives him 17.0 carries and 4.8 targets. The salary works out to 2.73 projected points per $1,000, 7th of 19 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Robinson averaged 23.1 points with a simulated floor of 11.3 and a ceiling of 39.7, and he holds 15% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Atlanta is a 4.5-point underdog at home against San Francisco, with an implied team total of 23 in a game totaled at 50.5.
Value: Braelon Allen, NYJ vs MIA ($5,900)
Braelon Allen projects for 17.3 DraftKings points at $5,900, which works out to 2.93 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 19 running backs the model projects for 9 or more points. The model gives him 19.4 carries and 2.3 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Allen averaged 17.1 points with a simulated floor of 7.2 and a ceiling of 31.2, and he holds 19% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. The Jets are a 4.5-point favorite at home against Miami, with an implied team total of 21.5 in a game totaled at 38.5.
Wide receivers: Week 7 DraftKings projections
Puka Nacua, LAR at LV ($8,400)
Puka Nacua carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 23.9 DraftKings points at $8,400, the 2nd-highest on the entire main slate. That is 5.1 points clear of Amon-Ra St. Brown. The model gives him 11.5 targets on 33.0 routes. The salary works out to 2.84 projected points per $1,000, 1st of 28 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Nacua averaged 24.0 points with a simulated floor of 11.3 and a ceiling of 44.5, and he holds 25% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. The Rams are a 4.5-point favorite on the road against Las Vegas, with an implied team total of 26 in a game totaled at 47.5.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET vs GB ($7,800)
Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 2nd at the position with 18.8 DraftKings points at $7,800. The model gives him 9.9 targets on 34.3 routes. The salary works out to 2.41 projected points per $1,000, 5th of 28 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Brown averaged 18.7 points with a simulated floor of 7.2 and a ceiling of 39.0, and he holds 17% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Detroit is a 3-point favorite at home against Green Bay, with an implied team total of 27.75 in a game totaled at 52.5.
Zay Flowers, BAL vs CIN ($6,900)
Zay Flowers projects 3rd at the position with 17.4 DraftKings points at $6,900. The model gives him 6.3 targets on 18.8 routes. The salary works out to 2.52 projected points per $1,000, 4th of 28 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Flowers averaged 17.4 points with a simulated floor of 5.8 and a ceiling of 37.4, and he holds 18% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Baltimore is a 2.5-point favorite at home against Cincinnati, with an implied team total of 27 in a game totaled at 51.5.
Value: Matthew Golden, GB at DET ($6,000)
Matthew Golden projects for 15.9 DraftKings points at $6,000, which works out to 2.65 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 28 wide receivers the model projects for 9 or more points. The model gives him 7.8 targets on 32.7 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Golden averaged 16.0 points with a simulated floor of 5.0 and a ceiling of 36.5, and he holds 24% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Green Bay is a 3-point underdog on the road against Detroit, with an implied team total of 24.75 in a game totaled at 52.5.
Tight ends: Week 7 DraftKings projections
George Kittle, SF at ATL ($5,700)
George Kittle carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 17.5 DraftKings points at $5,700. That is 0.9 points clear of Brock Bowers. The model gives him 7.9 targets on 22.6 routes. The salary works out to 3.07 projected points per $1,000, 1st of 14 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Kittle averaged 17.4 points with a simulated floor of 6.4 and a ceiling of 36.5, and he holds 27% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. San Francisco is a 4.5-point favorite on the road against Atlanta, with an implied team total of 27.5 in a game totaled at 50.5.
Brock Bowers, LV vs LAR ($7,700)
Brock Bowers projects 2nd at the position with 16.6 DraftKings points at $7,700. The model gives him 8.0 targets on 30.3 routes. The salary works out to 2.16 projected points per $1,000, 13th of 14 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Bowers averaged 16.6 points with a simulated floor of 6.0 and a ceiling of 35.0, and he holds 4% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Las Vegas is a 4.5-point underdog at home against the Rams, with an implied team total of 21.5 in a game totaled at 47.5.
Value: Cade Otton, TB at CAR ($3,100)
Cade Otton projects for 8.3 DraftKings points at $3,100, which works out to 2.69 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 14 tight ends the model projects for 7 or more points. The model gives him 4.9 targets on 30.7 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Otton averaged 8.3 points with a simulated floor of 0.7 and a ceiling of 24.2, and he holds 12% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Tampa Bay is a 3.5-point underdog on the road against Carolina, with an implied team total of 20.5 in a game totaled at 44.5.
Defenses: Week 7 DraftKings projections
Texans, HOU vs NYG ($3,400)
Texans carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 8.2 DraftKings points at $3,400. That is 1.1 points clear of Vikings. The salary works out to 2.42 projected points per $1,000, 1st of 7 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Texans averaged 8.3 points with a simulated floor of -0.4 and a ceiling of 15.6, and it holds 5% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Houston is a 9.5-point favorite at home against the Giants, with an implied team total of 26 in a game totaled at 42.5.
Value: Titans, TEN vs CLE ($2,600)
Titans projects for 6.3 DraftKings points at $2,600, which works out to 2.41 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 7 defenses the model projects for 6 or more points. Across 10,000 simulations Titans averaged 6.3 points with a simulated floor of -0.1 and a ceiling of 16.2, and it holds 5% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Tennessee is a 1.5-point underdog at home against Cleveland, with an implied team total of 18.5 in a game totaled at 38.5.
Current boards on their own pages: QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · DST rankings · Value plays · Player pages
The sim's favorite plays
The main slate was simulated 10,000 times against a modeled DraftKings field. These five players hold the most winning-lineup credit.
| Player | Team | Pos | Salary | Winning-lineup credit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | RB | $7,600 | 40% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | RB | $9,800 | 29% |
| George Kittle | SF | TE | $5,700 | 27% |
| Kyren Williams | LAR | RB | $7,000 | 26% |
| Puka Nacua | LAR | WR | $8,400 | 25% |
Week 7 NFL DFS stack to build around (DraftKings)
Of the quarterback stacks in Chris Spags' Week 7 main-slate pool with at least 50 simulated lineups, this one had the strongest simulated return, weighted by how many lineups back it: the 202 lineups built on it cashed 24.9% of the time across 10,000 simulations.
| Role | Player | Team | Pos | Salary | SPAGS proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Brock Purdy | SF | QB | $6,600 | 20.2 |
| Stack | Jacob Cowing | SF | WR | $3,500 | 3.7 |
| Stack total | $10,100 | 23.9 |
That leaves $39,900 of the $50,000 cap for the other 7 roster spots.
Every Top Stack ranked by simulated return is in the Splash Play NFL tool for members, and complete lineups with one-click DraftKings export come with Apex. See plans →
Week 7 game totals, spreads and implied points
GB at DET carries the highest total on the slate at 52.5. Houston is the biggest favorite, laying 9.5 against the Giants. The three highest implied team totals belong to DET (27.75), SF (27.5) and BAL (27). Lines are as of October 20, 11:53 PM ET and move before lock.
| Game | Total | Favorite | Implied points |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB @ DET | 52.5 | DET -3 | GB 24.75 · DET 27.75 |
| CIN @ BAL | 51.5 | BAL -2.5 | CIN 24.5 · BAL 27 |
| SF @ ATL | 50.5 | SF -4.5 | SF 27.5 · ATL 23 |
| LAR @ LV | 47.5 | LAR -4.5 | LAR 26 · LV 21.5 |
| TB @ CAR | 44.5 | CAR -3.5 | TB 20.5 · CAR 24 |
| DEN @ ARI | 43.5 | DEN -4.5 | DEN 24 · ARI 19.5 |
| NYG @ HOU | 42.5 | HOU -9.5 | NYG 16.5 · HOU 26 |
| IND @ MIN | 41.5 | MIN -6 | IND 17.75 · MIN 23.75 |
| MIA @ NYJ | 38.5 | NYJ -4.5 | MIA 17 · NYJ 21.5 |
| CLE @ TEN | 38.5 | CLE -1.5 | CLE 20 · TEN 18.5 |
Full Week 7 NFL DFS projections by position (DraftKings)
Every SPAGS model projection at each position for the Week 7 DraftKings main slate, ranked by projected points, from the October 20, 11:53 PM ET run.
Week 7 quarterback projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Goff | DET vs GB | $6,800 | 20.3 | 2.99 |
| 2 | Brock Purdy | SF at ATL | $6,600 | 20.2 | 3.06 |
| 3 | Jordan Love | GB at DET | $6,000 | 19.9 | 3.32 |
| 4 | Lamar Jackson | BAL vs CIN | $6,700 | 19.6 | 2.92 |
| 5 | Joe Burrow | CIN at BAL | $6,900 | 19.5 | 2.82 |
| 6 | C.J. Stroud | HOU vs NYG | $5,700 | 19.2 | 3.37 |
| 7 | Matthew Stafford | LAR at LV | $6,400 | 18.7 | 2.92 |
| 8 | Kyler Murray | MIN vs IND | $5,400 | 18.0 | 3.33 |
| 9 | Bryce Young | CAR vs TB | $5,900 | 17.7 | 3.01 |
| 10 | Bo Nix | DEN at ARI | $5,000 | 17.6 | 3.52 |
| 11 | Deshaun Watson | CLE at TEN | $5,200 | 17.4 | 3.34 |
| 12 | Baker Mayfield | TB at CAR | $5,500 | 16.7 | 3.03 |
| 13 | Kirk Cousins | LV vs LAR | $5,800 | 16.4 | 2.82 |
| 14 | Jacoby Brissett | ARI vs DEN | $5,600 | 16.0 | 2.86 |
| 15 | Michael Penix Jr. | ATL vs SF | $5,300 | 16.0 | 3.02 |
| 16 | Geno Smith | NYJ vs MIA | $5,100 | 15.2 | 2.98 |
Week 7 running back projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET vs GB | $9,800 | 30.6 | 3.13 |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | SF at ATL | $7,600 | 23.4 | 3.08 |
| 3 | Bijan Robinson | ATL vs SF | $8,500 | 23.2 | 2.73 |
| 4 | Kyren Williams | LAR at LV | $7,000 | 21.3 | 3.05 |
| 5 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR vs TB | $6,700 | 20.2 | 3.01 |
| 6 | Aaron Jones Sr. | MIN vs IND | $6,200 | 18.8 | 3.03 |
| 7 | Derrick Henry | BAL vs CIN | $7,900 | 18.2 | 2.31 |
| 8 | Braelon Allen | NYJ vs MIA | $5,900 | 17.3 | 2.93 |
| 9 | Jonathan Taylor | IND at MIN | $8,000 | 17.1 | 2.14 |
| 10 | Chase Brown | CIN at BAL | $6,600 | 15.7 | 2.38 |
| 11 | Ashton Jeanty | LV vs LAR | $6,500 | 15.6 | 2.39 |
| 12 | Bucky Irving | TB at CAR | $6,100 | 15.4 | 2.53 |
| 13 | Woody Marks | HOU vs NYG | $5,600 | 13.7 | 2.45 |
| 14 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN at ARI | $5,700 | 12.7 | 2.23 |
| 15 | Tony Pollard | TEN vs CLE | $5,300 | 12.4 | 2.34 |
| 16 | RJ Harvey | DEN at ARI | $5,400 | 11.6 | 2.14 |
| 17 | Ollie Gordon II | MIA at NYJ | $5,500 | 11.4 | 2.08 |
| 18 | Quinshon Judkins | CLE at TEN | $5,400 | 10.5 | 1.94 |
| 19 | Jeremiyah Love | ARI vs DEN | $5,500 | 10.0 | 1.81 |
| 20 | Blake Corum | LAR at LV | $5,000 | 8.6 | 1.72 |
| 21 | Josh Jacobs | GB at DET | $6,300 | 8.4 | 1.33 |
| 22 | Samaje Perine | CIN at BAL | $4,600 | 7.4 | 1.60 |
| 23 | MarShawn Lloyd | GB at DET | $4,900 | 7.0 | 1.44 |
| 24 | Cam Skattebo | NYG at HOU | $5,100 | 6.9 | 1.35 |
| 25 | Kenny Gainwell | TB at CAR | $4,100 | 6.7 | 1.63 |
| 26 | Brian Robinson Jr. | ATL vs SF | $4,500 | 6.6 | 1.47 |
| 27 | Tyjae Spears | TEN vs CLE | $4,800 | 6.2 | 1.30 |
| 28 | Justice Hill | BAL vs CIN | $4,200 | 6.1 | 1.45 |
| 29 | Jawhar Jordan | HOU vs NYG | $4,600 | 6.0 | 1.31 |
| 30 | Pierre Strong Jr. | GB at DET | $4,300 | 5.9 | 1.37 |
| 31 | Tyler Allgeier | ARI vs DEN | $5,000 | 5.9 | 1.17 |
| 32 | Kaelon Black | SF at ATL | $5,100 | 5.7 | 1.12 |
Week 7 wide receiver projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puka Nacua | LAR at LV | $8,400 | 23.9 | 2.84 |
| 2 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET vs GB | $7,800 | 18.8 | 2.41 |
| 3 | Zay Flowers | BAL vs CIN | $6,900 | 17.4 | 2.52 |
| 4 | Ja'Marr Chase | CIN at BAL | $8,100 | 17.0 | 2.10 |
| 5 | Drake London | ATL vs SF | $7,500 | 16.7 | 2.22 |
| 6 | Malik Nabers | NYG at HOU | $6,800 | 16.2 | 2.38 |
| 7 | Christian Watson | GB at DET | $7,000 | 16.0 | 2.28 |
| 8 | Matthew Golden | GB at DET | $6,000 | 15.9 | 2.65 |
| 9 | Justin Jefferson | MIN vs IND | $7,300 | 14.9 | 2.04 |
| 10 | Tetairoa McMillan | CAR vs TB | $7,100 | 14.6 | 2.05 |
| 11 | Tee Higgins | CIN at BAL | $6,600 | 14.4 | 2.18 |
| 12 | Jalen Coker | CAR vs TB | $6,100 | 13.8 | 2.26 |
| 13 | Michael Wilson | ARI vs DEN | $6,200 | 13.5 | 2.18 |
| 14 | Emeka Egbuka | TB at CAR | $5,700 | 12.7 | 2.22 |
| 15 | Garrett Wilson | NYJ vs MIA | $6,500 | 12.6 | 1.93 |
| 16 | Nico Collins | HOU vs NYG | $7,200 | 12.4 | 1.72 |
| 17 | Jaylen Waddle | DEN at ARI | $5,500 | 12.2 | 2.22 |
| 18 | Carnell Tate | TEN vs CLE | $5,100 | 12.2 | 2.38 |
| 19 | Keenan Allen | IND at MIN | $4,800 | 12.1 | 2.52 |
| 20 | Jameson Williams | DET vs GB | $5,800 | 12.1 | 2.08 |
| 21 | Malik Washington | MIA at NYJ | $4,900 | 11.3 | 2.30 |
| 22 | Josh Downs | IND at MIN | $5,600 | 11.1 | 1.99 |
| 23 | Denzel Boston | CLE at TEN | $5,400 | 11.0 | 2.03 |
| 24 | Jordan Addison | MIN vs IND | $5,300 | 10.0 | 1.88 |
| 25 | KC Concepcion Jr. | CLE at TEN | $4,400 | 9.5 | 2.15 |
| 26 | Tre Tucker | LV vs LAR | $5,200 | 9.4 | 1.81 |
| 27 | Chris Godwin Jr. | TB at CAR | $4,300 | 9.4 | 2.18 |
| 28 | Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN vs CLE | $4,600 | 9.2 | 1.99 |
| 29 | Courtland Sutton | DEN at ARI | $4,700 | 8.8 | 1.86 |
| 30 | Caleb Douglas | MIA at NYJ | $4,000 | 8.1 | 2.03 |
| 31 | Jahan Dotson | ATL vs SF | $3,700 | 7.3 | 1.98 |
| 32 | Xavier Hutchinson | HOU vs NYG | $3,700 | 7.1 | 1.91 |
| 33 | Kendrick Bourne | ARI vs DEN | $4,000 | 6.8 | 1.70 |
| 34 | Laquon Treadwell | IND at MIN | $3,300 | 6.7 | 2.04 |
| 35 | Malachi Fields | NYG at HOU | $3,800 | 6.5 | 1.71 |
| 36 | Isaac TeSlaa | DET vs GB | $3,400 | 6.4 | 1.88 |
| 37 | Savion Williams | GB at DET | $3,200 | 6.3 | 1.96 |
| 38 | Jaylin Noel | HOU vs NYG | $3,900 | 6.0 | 1.54 |
| 39 | Jerry Jeudy | CLE at TEN | $3,400 | 6.0 | 1.76 |
| 40 | Ja'Kobi Lane | BAL vs CIN | $3,400 | 5.7 | 1.67 |
Week 7 tight end projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Kittle | SF at ATL | $5,700 | 17.5 | 3.07 |
| 2 | Brock Bowers | LV vs LAR | $7,700 | 16.6 | 2.16 |
| 3 | Trey McBride | ARI vs DEN | $7,400 | 16.6 | 2.25 |
| 4 | Sam LaPorta | DET vs GB | $4,800 | 13.4 | 2.79 |
| 5 | Isaiah Likely | NYG at HOU | $5,300 | 13.0 | 2.45 |
| 6 | Tucker Kraft | GB at DET | $4,700 | 12.4 | 2.64 |
| 7 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN vs IND | $4,500 | 9.8 | 2.17 |
| 8 | Mark Andrews | BAL vs CIN | $3,900 | 9.7 | 2.49 |
| 9 | Kyle Pitts Sr. | ATL vs SF | $4,000 | 9.5 | 2.38 |
| 10 | Tyler Higbee | LAR at LV | $3,500 | 9.3 | 2.65 |
| 11 | Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE at TEN | $4,200 | 8.8 | 2.10 |
| 12 | Michael Mayer | LV vs LAR | $3,700 | 8.4 | 2.27 |
| 13 | Cade Otton | TB at CAR | $3,100 | 8.3 | 2.69 |
| 14 | Dalton Schultz | HOU vs NYG | $3,600 | 7.9 | 2.19 |
| 15 | Colby Parkinson | LAR at LV | $3,000 | 6.9 | 2.31 |
| 16 | Evan Engram | DEN at ARI | $3,000 | 6.8 | 2.26 |
Week 7 defense projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texans | HOU vs NYG | $3,400 | 8.2 | 2.42 |
| 2 | Vikings | MIN vs IND | $3,500 | 7.1 | 2.03 |
| 3 | Broncos | DEN at ARI | $3,300 | 7.1 | 2.15 |
| 4 | Browns | CLE at TEN | $2,800 | 6.7 | 2.40 |
| 5 | Panthers | CAR vs TB | $3,000 | 6.3 | 2.09 |
| 6 | Titans | TEN vs CLE | $2,600 | 6.3 | 2.41 |
| 7 | Jets | NYJ vs MIA | $2,900 | 6.3 | 2.16 |
| 8 | Dolphins | MIA at NYJ | $2,300 | 6.0 | 2.59 |
| 9 | Rams | LAR at LV | $3,100 | 5.9 | 1.91 |
| 10 | Ravens | BAL vs CIN | $2,700 | 5.1 | 1.90 |
| 11 | Buccaneers | TB at CAR | $2,200 | 5.0 | 2.28 |
| 12 | Colts | IND at MIN | $2,400 | 4.8 | 2.02 |
Floors, ceilings, simulated win rates, ownership and one-click DraftKings and FanDuel exports for every player are in the Splash Play NFL tool. Open the NFL DFS tool →
NFL DFS Week 7 projections FAQ
Who has the highest NFL DFS projection for Week 7?
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB) has the highest SPAGS model projection on the Week 7 DraftKings main slate at 30.6 points for $9,800, as of October 20, 11:53 PM ET.
Who is the top quarterback projection for Week 7 on DraftKings?
Jared Goff leads the Week 7 quarterbacks at 20.3 projected DraftKings points for $6,800, vs GB.
What is the best NFL DFS stack for Week 7?
Build around Brock Purdy with Jacob Cowing. Among quarterback stacks with at least 50 lineups in Chris Spags' simulated Week 7 pool, it had the strongest simulated return, weighted by how many lineups back it, cashing 24.9% of the time. The two players cost $10,100.
What is the best NFL DFS value play for Week 7?
Among players projected for at least 10 points, Bo Nix (QB, $5,000) returns the most projected points per $1,000 of salary at 3.52, projected for 17.6.
Which game has the highest total in NFL Week 7?
GB at DET has the highest total on the Week 7 DraftKings main slate at 52.5 points, as of October 20, 11:53 PM ET. Lines move before lock.
Where can I get DraftKings NFL DFS projections and simulations?
Splash Play, built by Chris Spags, offers DraftKings NFL DFS projections, simulation results and lineup tools. The weekly articles include free SPAGS projections. VIP opens the in-app SPAGS projection table, CSV exports and simulation results. Apex adds lineup browsing and portfolio building for your entries, player-exposure review and DraftKings or FanDuel export. Squirt Squad includes matchup research. Player search and historical stats are free. Compare Splash Play plans →
How are the SPAGS NFL DFS projections made?
SPAGS projections come from the Splash Play NFL model, built by Chris Spags from player workload, efficiency and game environment. The slate is then simulated 10,000 times against a modeled DraftKings field to measure winning-lineup credit.
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