NFL DFS Value Plays: Week 5 (DraftKings)
Tyson Bagent is the top value on the Week 5 DraftKings main slate: 18.0 projected points for $4,700, or 3.83 points per $1,000. Tre' Harris (3.70) and Malik Willis (3.53) are next.
Value here is projected DraftKings points per $1,000 of salary, among players the SPAGS model projects for at least a minimum score at their position (QB 15, RB 9, WR 9, TE 7, DST 6). A cheap player with a small projection is not a value play by this measure.
Every projection is a SPAGS model estimate from the October 10, 9:46 AM ET run of the Splash Play NFL model. This page updates each time the main-slate numbers are published.
Week 5 value plays by points per dollar (DraftKings)
| # | Player | Pos | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyson Bagent | QB | $4,700 | 18.0 | 3.83 | CHI at GB |
| 2 | Tre' Harris | WR | $4,100 | 15.2 | 3.70 | LAC vs DEN |
| 3 | Malik Willis | QB | $4,600 | 16.3 | 3.53 | MIA vs CIN |
| 4 | Deshaun Watson | QB | $5,100 | 17.4 | 3.40 | CLE at NYJ |
| 5 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | $5,500 | 18.7 | 3.39 | ARI vs DET |
| 6 | Kyler Murray | QB | $5,200 | 17.4 | 3.34 | MIN at NO |
| 7 | Justin Herbert | QB | $5,100 | 16.9 | 3.32 | LAC vs DEN |
| 8 | Drake Maye | QB | $6,300 | 20.4 | 3.24 | NE vs LV |
| 9 | Jayden Daniels | QB | $6,000 | 18.8 | 3.13 | WAS vs NYG |
| 10 | Jared Goff | QB | $6,600 | 20.6 | 3.12 | DET at ARI |
| 11 | Bo Nix | QB | $5,600 | 17.4 | 3.10 | DEN at LAC |
| 12 | D'Andre Swift | RB | $6,200 | 19.0 | 3.07 | CHI at GB |
| 13 | Braelon Allen | RB | $5,400 | 16.3 | 3.01 | NYJ vs CLE |
| 14 | Hunter Henry | TE | $3,700 | 10.9 | 2.95 | NE vs LV |
| 15 | Chase Brown | RB | $6,900 | 20.3 | 2.95 | CIN at MIA |
| 16 | Jordan Love | QB | $5,700 | 16.6 | 2.92 | GB vs CHI |
| 17 | C.J. Stroud | QB | $5,900 | 17.1 | 2.91 | HOU at TEN |
| 18 | Trey McBride | TE | $6,700 | 19.4 | 2.90 | ARI vs DET |
| 19 | Oronde Gadsden II | TE | $3,600 | 10.4 | 2.88 | LAC vs DEN |
| 20 | Sam Darnold | QB | $5,800 | 16.5 | 2.85 | SEA vs SF |
| 21 | Sam LaPorta | TE | $4,900 | 13.8 | 2.81 | DET at ARI |
| 22 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | $9,800 | 27.5 | 2.81 | DET at ARI |
| 23 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | $7,200 | 20.1 | 2.79 | LV at NE |
| 24 | Brock Purdy | QB | $6,500 | 18.1 | 2.78 | SF at SEA |
| 25 | Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | $6,500 | 17.9 | 2.75 | MIN at NO |
Floors, ceilings, simulated win rates, ownership and one-click DraftKings and FanDuel exports for every player are in the Splash Play NFL tool. Open the NFL DFS tool →
How to use the board
Value frees salary for the expensive players you want. It does not make a player a good play by itself: check his role and his status, and remember that a low salary often reflects a real doubt about his workload. Projections change with injuries and roles, so check the time above before you build.
More Week 5 boards
Week 5 projections, picks and sim plays · QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · DST rankings
Week 5 value plays FAQ
Who are the top NFL DFS value plays for Week 5?
Tyson Bagent (3.83 projected points per $1,000 at $4,700), Tre' Harris (3.70 projected points per $1,000 at $4,100) and Malik Willis (3.53 projected points per $1,000 at $4,600) lead the Week 5 DraftKings main slate by SPAGS projection per dollar, as of October 10, 9:46 AM ET.
What counts as a value play?
A player whose projected DraftKings points are high for his salary. This board ranks projected points per $1,000 among players projected for at least a minimum score at their position (QB 15, RB 9, WR 9, TE 7, DST 6).
Where can I get DraftKings NFL DFS projections and simulations?
Splash Play, built by Chris Spags, offers DraftKings NFL DFS projections, simulation results and lineup tools. The weekly articles include free SPAGS projections. VIP opens the in-app SPAGS projection table, CSV exports and simulation results. Apex adds lineup browsing and portfolio building for your entries, player-exposure review and DraftKings or FanDuel export. Squirt Squad includes matchup research. Player search and historical stats are free. Compare Splash Play plans →
How are these value rankings made?
They are SPAGS projections from the Splash Play NFL model, built by Chris Spags from player workload, efficiency and game environment, divided by DraftKings salary.
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