NFL DFS Picks and Projections

By Chris Spags · Splash Play NFL DFS articles · Updated

Where can I find NFL DFS picks and projections?

Each article is built from the Splash Play NFL model: SPAGS projections, projected workloads and 10,000 simulations of the DraftKings contest. The main-slate article covers the Sunday slate by position. The Showdown articles cover the Thursday, Sunday and Monday night single-game slates, with captain picks. Articles refresh whenever the numbers are updated.

This week's boards: All projections · QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · DST rankings · Value plays · Player pages

NBA, DraftKings main slate for November 4: Picks and projections · Projections · Value plays · Full rankings

NFL Week 9

NFL DFS Projections Week 9: DraftKings Picks, Values and Sim Plays

NFL DFS projections for Week 9 on DraftKings: Jahmyr Gibbs leads the SPAGS model at 31.9. Full QB, RB, WR, TE and DST projections, values and sim plays.

Main slate · Numbers as of November 3, 12:36 PM ET

Jaguars vs Ravens DraftKings Showdown Picks: Thursday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Jaguars vs Ravens DraftKings Showdown picks for TNF Week 9: Trevor Lawrence leads the SPAGS model at 18.2; Trevor Lawrence is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of November 3, 12:37 PM ET

NFL Week 8

NFL DFS Projections Week 8: DraftKings Picks, Values and Sim Plays

NFL DFS projections for Week 8 on DraftKings: Jahmyr Gibbs leads the SPAGS model at 28.0. Full QB, RB, WR, TE and DST projections, values and sim plays.

Main slate · Numbers as of November 1, 3:34 PM ET

Bears vs Seahawks DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Bears vs Seahawks DraftKings Showdown picks for MNF Week 8: Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the SPAGS model at 22.1; Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of November 2, 7:59 PM ET

Eagles vs Commanders DraftKings Showdown Picks: Sunday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Eagles vs Commanders DraftKings Showdown picks for SNF Week 8: Jayden Daniels leads the SPAGS model at 20.0; Jayden Daniels is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of November 1, 8:02 PM ET

Panthers vs Packers DraftKings Showdown Picks: Thursday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Panthers vs Packers DraftKings Showdown picks for TNF Week 8: Jordan Love leads the SPAGS model at 18.0; Chuba Hubbard is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 29, 7:57 PM ET

NFL Week 7

NFL DFS Projections Week 7: DraftKings Picks, Values and Sim Plays

NFL DFS projections for Week 7 on DraftKings: Jahmyr Gibbs leads the SPAGS model at 30.9. Full QB, RB, WR, TE and DST projections, values and sim plays.

Main slate · Numbers as of October 25, 3:23 PM ET

Cowboys vs Eagles DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Cowboys vs Eagles DraftKings Showdown picks for MNF Week 7: Dak Prescott leads the SPAGS model at 18.1; CeeDee Lamb is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 26, 8:11 PM ET

Chiefs vs Seahawks DraftKings Showdown Picks: Sunday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Chiefs vs Seahawks DraftKings Showdown picks for SNF Week 7: Kenneth Walker III leads the SPAGS model at 22.0; Kenneth Walker III is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 25, 7:59 PM ET

Patriots vs Bears DraftKings Showdown Picks: Thursday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Patriots vs Bears DraftKings Showdown picks for TNF Week 7: Drake Maye leads the SPAGS model at 20.1; Drake Maye is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 22, 8:04 PM ET

NFL Week 6

NFL DFS Projections Week 6: DraftKings Picks, Values and Sim Plays

NFL DFS projections for Week 6 on DraftKings: Bijan Robinson leads the SPAGS model at 25.6. Full QB, RB, WR, TE and DST projections, values and sim plays.

Main slate · Numbers as of October 18, 3:48 PM ET

Commanders vs 49ers DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Commanders vs 49ers DraftKings Showdown picks for MNF Week 6: Brock Purdy leads the SPAGS model at 22.0; Christian McCaffrey is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 19, 8:07 PM ET

Cowboys vs Packers DraftKings Showdown Picks: Sunday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Cowboys vs Packers DraftKings Showdown picks for SNF Week 6: Dak Prescott leads the SPAGS model at 19.7; CeeDee Lamb is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 18, 7:44 PM ET

Seahawks vs Broncos DraftKings Showdown Picks: Thursday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Seahawks vs Broncos DraftKings Showdown picks for TNF Week 6: Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the SPAGS model at 20.1; Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 15, 7:50 PM ET

NFL Week 5

NFL DFS Projections Week 5: DraftKings Picks, Values and Sim Plays

NFL DFS projections for Week 5 on DraftKings: Jahmyr Gibbs leads the SPAGS model at 27.8. Full QB, RB, WR, TE and DST projections, values and sim plays.

Main slate · Numbers as of October 11, 3:48 PM ET

Bills vs Rams DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Bills vs Rams DraftKings Showdown picks for MNF Week 5: Josh Allen leads the SPAGS model at 23.2; Josh Allen is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 12, 8:08 PM ET

Ravens vs Falcons DraftKings Showdown Picks: Sunday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Ravens vs Falcons DraftKings Showdown picks for SNF Week 5: Bijan Robinson leads the SPAGS model at 21.9; Bijan Robinson is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 11, 7:37 PM ET

Buccaneers vs Cowboys DraftKings Showdown Picks: Thursday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Buccaneers vs Cowboys DraftKings Showdown picks for TNF Week 5: Dak Prescott leads the SPAGS model at 20.9; Jalon Daniels is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 8, 7:53 PM ET

NFL Week 4

NFL DFS Projections Week 4: DraftKings Picks, Values and Sim Plays

NFL DFS projections for Week 4 on DraftKings: Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the SPAGS model at 21.5. Full QB, RB, WR, TE and DST projections, values and sim plays.

Main slate · Numbers as of October 5, 11:08 AM ET

Falcons vs Saints DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Falcons vs Saints DraftKings Showdown picks for MNF Week 4: Bijan Robinson leads the SPAGS model at 22.9; Bijan Robinson is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 5, 7:23 PM ET

Lions vs Panthers DraftKings Showdown Picks: Sunday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Lions vs Panthers DraftKings Showdown picks for SNF Week 4: Jahmyr Gibbs leads the SPAGS model at 26.8; Jahmyr Gibbs is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 4, 8:08 PM ET

Steelers vs Browns DraftKings Showdown Picks: Thursday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Steelers vs Browns DraftKings Showdown picks for TNF Week 4: Jaylen Warren leads the SPAGS model at 19.1; Jaylen Warren is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of October 1, 7:44 PM ET

NFL Week 3

NFL DFS Projections Week 3: DraftKings Picks, Values and Sim Plays

NFL DFS projections for Week 3 on DraftKings: Jahmyr Gibbs leads the SPAGS model at 31.4. Full QB, RB, WR, TE and DST projections, values and sim plays.

Main slate · Numbers as of September 27, 3:45 PM ET

Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Eagles vs Bears DraftKings Showdown picks for MNF Week 3: Jalen Hurts leads the SPAGS model at 18.7; Jalen Hurts is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of September 28, 7:07 PM ET

Rams vs Broncos DraftKings Showdown Picks: Sunday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Rams vs Broncos DraftKings Showdown picks for SNF Week 3: Davante Adams leads the SPAGS model at 18.8; Davante Adams is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of September 27, 8:06 PM ET

Falcons vs Packers DraftKings Showdown Picks: Thursday Night Football NFL DFS Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

Falcons vs Packers DraftKings Showdown picks for TNF Week 3: Bijan Robinson leads the SPAGS model at 21.4; Bijan Robinson is the top sim captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of September 24, 7:58 PM ET

NFL Week 2

NFL DFS Week 2 Picks: Top DraftKings Projections, Values and Sim Plays

NFL DFS Week 2 on DraftKings: Christian McCaffrey leads the SPAGS model at 23.5 points. Top projections and values by position, sim win rates, game totals.

Main slate · Numbers as of September 20, 6:43 PM ET

Giants vs Rams DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

MNF DraftKings Showdown, Giants vs Rams: Jaxson Dart leads the SPAGS model at 17.9; Jaxson Dart holds the top captain share in the sims.

Showdown · Numbers as of September 21, 7:24 PM ET

Colts vs Chiefs DraftKings Showdown Picks: Sunday Night Football Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

SNF DraftKings Showdown, Colts vs Chiefs: Kenneth Walker III leads the SPAGS model at 20.4; Kenneth Walker III holds the top captain share in the sims.

Showdown · Numbers as of September 20, 7:55 PM ET

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