NFL DFS Picks and Projections

By Chris Spags · Splash Play NFL DFS articles

Each article is built from the Splash Play NFL model: SPAGS projections, projected workloads and 10,000 simulations of the DraftKings contest. The main-slate article covers the Sunday slate by position. The Showdown articles cover the Thursday, Sunday and Monday night single-game slates, with captain picks. Articles refresh whenever the numbers are updated.

NFL Week 2

NFL DFS Week 2 Picks: Top DraftKings Projections, Values and Sim Plays

NFL DFS Week 2 on DraftKings: Bijan Robinson leads the SPAGS model at 25.1 points. Top projections and values by position, sim win rates, game totals.

Main slate · Numbers as of September 19, 3:27 PM ET

Giants vs Rams DraftKings Showdown Picks: Monday Night Football Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

MNF DraftKings Showdown, Giants vs Rams: Puka Nacua leads the SPAGS model at 19.3; Puka Nacua is the sim's top winning captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of September 19, 3:36 PM ET

Colts vs Chiefs DraftKings Showdown Picks: Sunday Night Football Captains, Projections and Sim Plays

SNF DraftKings Showdown, Colts vs Chiefs: Jonathan Taylor leads the SPAGS model at 20.4; Jonathan Taylor is the sim's top winning captain.

Showdown · Numbers as of September 19, 3:36 PM ET

Use SNEAK for 10% off

Want the whole slate? VIP unlocks SPAGS projections and simulation results. Apex adds lineup browsing and portfolio building.

10% off your first payment. First-time customers only. Enter SNEAK in Stripe checkout.

JOIN THE SQUAD →SEE HOW IT WORKS →

Free: search any NFL player and his stats.