NFL DFS Running Back Rankings: Week 5 (DraftKings)
Jahmyr Gibbs is the top-projected running back on the Week 5 DraftKings main slate at 27.5 DraftKings points for $9,800, at Arizona. Chase Brown (20.3, $6,900) and Ashton Jeanty (20.1, $7,200) are next.
D'Andre Swift returns the most per dollar among running backs projected for at least 9 points: 3.07 projected points per $1,000 at $6,200.
Every projection is a SPAGS model estimate from the October 10, 9:46 AM ET run of the Splash Play NFL model. This page updates each time the main-slate numbers are published.
Week 5 running back rankings (DraftKings)
| # | Player | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K | Game | Team total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | $9,800 | 27.5 | 2.81 | DET at ARI | 30 |
| 2 | Chase Brown | $6,900 | 20.3 | 2.95 | CIN at MIA | 25.25 |
| 3 | Ashton Jeanty | $7,200 | 20.1 | 2.79 | LV at NE | 21 |
| 4 | Jonathan Taylor | $7,800 | 19.2 | 2.46 | IND at PIT | 20.25 |
| 5 | D'Andre Swift | $6,200 | 19.0 | 3.07 | CHI at GB | 23.5 |
| 6 | Christian McCaffrey | $8,200 | 18.2 | 2.22 | SF at SEA | 21.25 |
| 7 | Aaron Jones Sr. | $6,500 | 17.9 | 2.75 | MIN at NO | 22 |
| 8 | Braelon Allen | $5,400 | 16.3 | 3.01 | NYJ vs CLE | 21 |
| 9 | Jaylen Warren | $6,700 | 15.9 | 2.37 | PIT vs IND | 23.25 |
| 10 | Quinshon Judkins | $5,700 | 14.2 | 2.48 | CLE at NYJ | 18.5 |
| 11 | Cam Skattebo | $6,000 | 14.0 | 2.34 | NYG at WAS | 19 |
| 12 | Emanuel Wilson | $5,300 | 13.9 | 2.63 | SEA vs SF | 24.25 |
| 13 | Rhamondre Stevenson | $5,500 | 12.5 | 2.28 | NE vs LV | 24.5 |
| 14 | Omarion Hampton | $6,000 | 12.4 | 2.06 | LAC vs DEN | 19 |
| 15 | RJ Harvey | $5,200 | 12.2 | 2.35 | DEN at LAC | 22.5 |
| 16 | Jeremiyah Love | $6,100 | 12.2 | 1.99 | ARI vs DET | 24.5 |
| 17 | TreVeyon Henderson | $5,000 | 11.7 | 2.35 | NE vs LV | 24.5 |
| 18 | J.K. Dobbins | $5,000 | 11.4 | 2.27 | DEN at LAC | 22.5 |
| 19 | David Montgomery | $5,800 | 11.3 | 1.94 | HOU at TEN | 22.75 |
| 20 | Alvin Kamara | $5,400 | 10.9 | 2.02 | NO vs MIN | 19.5 |
| 21 | MarShawn Lloyd | $4,800 | 10.8 | 2.26 | GB vs CHI | 22 |
| 22 | Tony Pollard | $5,600 | 10.5 | 1.88 | TEN vs HOU | 15.75 |
| 23 | Ollie Gordon II | $5,300 | 9.8 | 1.85 | MIA vs CIN | 18.25 |
| 24 | Rico Dowdle | $4,700 | 9.7 | 2.06 | PIT vs IND | 23.25 |
| 25 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | $4,900 | 9.5 | 1.94 | WAS vs NYG | 22.5 |
| 26 | Woody Marks | $4,800 | 9.4 | 1.96 | HOU at TEN | 22.75 |
| 27 | Keaton Mitchell | $4,500 | 9.3 | 2.06 | LAC vs DEN | 19 |
| 28 | George Holani | $4,500 | 9.2 | 2.04 | SEA vs SF | 24.25 |
| 29 | Tyler Allgeier | $5,100 | 8.5 | 1.66 | ARI vs DET | 24.5 |
| 30 | Rachaad White | $5,100 | 8.2 | 1.60 | WAS vs NYG | 22.5 |
| 31 | Kaleb Johnson | $4,600 | 7.1 | 1.55 | GB vs CHI | 22 |
| 32 | Kimani Vidal | $4,300 | 6.3 | 1.47 | LAC vs DEN | 19 |
32 running backs, ranked by projected DraftKings points. Pts/$1K is projected points per $1,000 of salary. Team total is the team's implied points from the betting line.
Running backs to know in Week 5
Jahmyr Gibbs, DET at ARI ($9,800)
Jahmyr Gibbs carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 27.5 DraftKings points at $9,800, the highest on the entire main slate. That is 7.1 points clear of Chase Brown. The model gives him 23.5 carries and 5.5 targets. The salary works out to 2.81 projected points per $1,000, 4th of 28 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Gibbs averaged 27.4 points with a simulated floor of 15.2 and a ceiling of 43.2, and he holds 40% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Detroit is a 5.5-point favorite on the road against Arizona, with an implied team total of 30 in a game totaled at 54.5.
Chase Brown, CIN at MIA ($6,900)
Chase Brown projects 2nd at the position with 20.3 DraftKings points at $6,900, 5th on the main slate overall. The model gives him 18.2 carries and 4.8 targets. The salary works out to 2.95 projected points per $1,000, 3rd of 28 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Brown averaged 20.4 points with a simulated floor of 8.7 and a ceiling of 37.1, and he holds 15% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Cincinnati is a 7-point favorite on the road against Miami, with an implied team total of 25.25 in a game totaled at 43.5.
Ashton Jeanty, LV at NE ($7,200)
Ashton Jeanty projects 3rd at the position with 20.1 DraftKings points at $7,200. The model gives him 17.0 carries and 6.0 targets. The salary works out to 2.79 projected points per $1,000, 5th of 28 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Jeanty averaged 20.1 points with a simulated floor of 9.0 and a ceiling of 36.7, and he holds 10% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Las Vegas is a 3.5-point underdog on the road against New England, with an implied team total of 21 in a game totaled at 45.5.
Value: Braelon Allen, NYJ vs CLE ($5,400)
Braelon Allen projects for 16.3 DraftKings points at $5,400, which works out to 3.01 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 28 running backs the model projects for 9 or more points. The model gives him 17.7 carries and 2.4 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Allen averaged 16.2 points with a simulated floor of 6.5 and a ceiling of 30.9, and he holds 20% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. The Jets are a 2.5-point favorite at home against Cleveland, with an implied team total of 21 in a game totaled at 39.5.
Floors, ceilings, simulated win rates, ownership and one-click DraftKings and FanDuel exports for every player are in the Splash Play NFL tool. Open the NFL DFS tool →
How to use the board
A ranking by projection is a starting point. Salary decides who fits: the Pts/$1K column shows what each player returns for his price, and the team total shows how many points that team is expected to score. Projections change with injuries and roles, so check the time above before you build.
More Week 5 boards
Week 5 projections, picks and sim plays · QB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · DST rankings · Value plays
Week 5 running back rankings FAQ
Who is the top-projected running back in NFL DFS for Week 5?
Jahmyr Gibbs leads the SPAGS model at 27.5 DraftKings points for $9,800 on the main slate, as of October 10, 9:46 AM ET.
Who is the top value running back on DraftKings in Week 5?
D'Andre Swift returns 3.07 projected points per $1,000 at $6,200, the most among running backs projected for at least 9 points, as of October 10, 9:46 AM ET.
Where can I get DraftKings NFL DFS projections and simulations?
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How are these running back rankings made?
They are SPAGS projections from the Splash Play NFL model, built by Chris Spags from player workload, efficiency and game environment, ranked by projected DraftKings points.
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