NFL DFS Quarterback Rankings: Week 5 (DraftKings)
Jared Goff is the top-projected quarterback on the Week 5 DraftKings main slate at 20.6 DraftKings points for $6,600, at Arizona. Drake Maye (20.4, $6,300) and Jayden Daniels (18.8, $6,000) are next.
Tyson Bagent returns the most per dollar among quarterbacks projected for at least 15 points: 3.83 projected points per $1,000 at $4,700.
Every projection is a SPAGS model estimate from the October 10, 9:46 AM ET run of the Splash Play NFL model. This page updates each time the main-slate numbers are published.
Week 5 quarterback rankings (DraftKings)
| # | Player | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K | Game | Team total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Goff | $6,600 | 20.6 | 3.12 | DET at ARI | 30 |
| 2 | Drake Maye | $6,300 | 20.4 | 3.24 | NE vs LV | 24.5 |
| 3 | Jayden Daniels | $6,000 | 18.8 | 3.13 | WAS vs NYG | 22.5 |
| 4 | Jacoby Brissett | $5,500 | 18.7 | 3.39 | ARI vs DET | 24.5 |
| 5 | Joe Burrow | $6,900 | 18.5 | 2.68 | CIN at MIA | 25.25 |
| 6 | Brock Purdy | $6,500 | 18.1 | 2.78 | SF at SEA | 21.25 |
| 7 | Tyson Bagent | $4,700 | 18.0 | 3.83 | CHI at GB | 23.5 |
| 8 | Bo Nix | $5,600 | 17.4 | 3.10 | DEN at LAC | 22.5 |
| 9 | Kyler Murray | $5,200 | 17.4 | 3.34 | MIN at NO | 22 |
| 10 | Deshaun Watson | $5,100 | 17.4 | 3.40 | CLE at NYJ | 18.5 |
| 11 | C.J. Stroud | $5,900 | 17.1 | 2.91 | HOU at TEN | 22.75 |
| 12 | Justin Herbert | $5,100 | 16.9 | 3.32 | LAC vs DEN | 19 |
| 13 | Tyler Shough | $6,100 | 16.8 | 2.75 | NO vs MIN | 19.5 |
| 14 | Jordan Love | $5,700 | 16.6 | 2.92 | GB vs CHI | 22 |
| 15 | Sam Darnold | $5,800 | 16.5 | 2.85 | SEA vs SF | 24.25 |
| 16 | Malik Willis | $4,600 | 16.3 | 3.53 | MIA vs CIN | 18.25 |
16 quarterbacks, ranked by projected DraftKings points. Pts/$1K is projected points per $1,000 of salary. Team total is the team's implied points from the betting line.
Quarterbacks to know in Week 5
Jared Goff, DET at ARI ($6,600)
Jared Goff carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 20.6 DraftKings points at $6,600, the 3rd-highest on the entire main slate. That is 0.2 points clear of Drake Maye. The salary works out to 3.12 projected points per $1,000, 10th of 20 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Goff averaged 20.6 points with a simulated floor of 7.9 and a ceiling of 37.4, and he holds 12% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Detroit is a 5.5-point favorite on the road against Arizona, with an implied team total of 30 in a game totaled at 54.5.
Drake Maye, NE vs LV ($6,300)
Drake Maye projects 2nd at the position with 20.4 DraftKings points at $6,300, 4th on the main slate overall. The model includes 5.0 rushing attempts. The salary works out to 3.24 projected points per $1,000, 7th of 20 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Maye averaged 20.4 points with a simulated floor of 7.5 and a ceiling of 37.1, and he holds 9% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. New England is a 3.5-point favorite at home against Las Vegas, with an implied team total of 24.5 in a game totaled at 45.5.
Value: Tyson Bagent, CHI at GB ($4,700)
Tyson Bagent projects for 18.0 DraftKings points at $4,700, which works out to 3.83 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 20 quarterbacks the model projects for 15 or more points. The model includes 6.6 rushing attempts. Across 10,000 simulations Bagent averaged 18.1 points with a simulated floor of 7.4 and a ceiling of 32.8, and he holds 9% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Chicago is a 1.5-point favorite on the road against Green Bay, with an implied team total of 23.5 in a game totaled at 45.5.
Floors, ceilings, simulated win rates, ownership and one-click DraftKings and FanDuel exports for every player are in the Splash Play NFL tool. Open the NFL DFS tool →
How to use the board
A ranking by projection is a starting point. Salary decides who fits: the Pts/$1K column shows what each player returns for his price, and the team total shows how many points that team is expected to score. Projections change with injuries and roles, so check the time above before you build.
More Week 5 boards
Week 5 projections, picks and sim plays · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · DST rankings · Value plays
Week 5 quarterback rankings FAQ
Who is the top-projected quarterback in NFL DFS for Week 5?
Jared Goff leads the SPAGS model at 20.6 DraftKings points for $6,600 on the main slate, as of October 10, 9:46 AM ET.
Who is the top value quarterback on DraftKings in Week 5?
Tyson Bagent returns 3.83 projected points per $1,000 at $4,700, the most among quarterbacks projected for at least 15 points, as of October 10, 9:46 AM ET.
Where can I get DraftKings NFL DFS projections and simulations?
Splash Play, built by Chris Spags, offers DraftKings NFL DFS projections, simulation results and lineup tools. The weekly articles include free SPAGS projections. VIP opens the in-app SPAGS projection table, CSV exports and simulation results. Apex adds lineup browsing and portfolio building for your entries, player-exposure review and DraftKings or FanDuel export. Squirt Squad includes matchup research. Player search and historical stats are free. Compare Splash Play plans →
How are these quarterback rankings made?
They are SPAGS projections from the Splash Play NFL model, built by Chris Spags from player workload, efficiency and game environment, ranked by projected DraftKings points.
Use READER for 25% off
Want the whole slate? VIP unlocks SPAGS projections and simulation results. Apex adds lineup browsing and portfolio building.
25% off your first payment. First-time customers only. Enter READER in Stripe checkout.
JOIN THE SQUAD →SEE HOW IT WORKS →