NFL DFS Projections Week 6: DraftKings Picks, Values and Sim Plays
Kenneth Walker III carries the highest SPAGS model projection on the Week 6 DraftKings main slate: 25.3 DraftKings points at $8,500. He holds 40% of the simulated winning-lineup credit across 10,000 simulations. Kyren Williams holds the largest share at 53% for $6,800.
Behind Walker, the model's next four projections are Bijan Robinson (25.0, $8,700), Kyren Williams (24.4, $6,800), Josh Allen (22.8, $7,500) and Jonathan Taylor (22.7, $8,000). Kyren Williams returns the most per dollar of that group at 3.59 projected points per $1,000. Puka Nacua leads the wide receivers at 18.0 for $8,100, Josh Allen leads the quarterbacks at 22.8 for $7,500, and Trey McBride leads the tight ends at 18.2 for $7,200.
The 10-game slate runs from a 53.5-point total in BUF at LV down to 40.5 in PIT at TB. Every projection below is a SPAGS model estimate from the October 13, 11:14 AM ET run of the Splash Play NFL model. Winning-lineup credit comes from 10,000 simulations of the contest, and tied winning entries share credit. A player's simulated floor is his 10th-percentile score and his ceiling is his 95th.
Chris Spags' latest NFL DFS breakdown on the Splash Play NFL channel.
Top 5 SPAGS model projections for Week 6 (DraftKings)
| Player | Team | Pos | Salary | SPAGS model proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | RB | $8,500 | 25.3 |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | RB | $8,700 | 25.0 |
| Kyren Williams | LAR | RB | $6,800 | 24.4 |
| Josh Allen | BUF | QB | $7,500 | 22.8 |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | RB | $8,000 | 22.7 |
Quarterbacks: Week 6 DraftKings projections
Josh Allen, BUF at LV ($7,500)
Josh Allen carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 22.8 DraftKings points at $7,500, the 4th-highest on the entire main slate. That is 2.0 points clear of Matthew Stafford. The model includes 6.8 rushing attempts. The salary works out to 3.04 projected points per $1,000, 13th of 19 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Allen averaged 22.8 points with a simulated floor of 8.7 and a ceiling of 41.7, and he holds 12% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Buffalo is a 5.5-point favorite on the road against Las Vegas, with an implied team total of 29.5 in a game totaled at 53.5.
Matthew Stafford, LAR vs ARI ($6,400)
Matthew Stafford projects 2nd at the position with 20.8 DraftKings points at $6,400. The salary works out to 3.24 projected points per $1,000, 7th of 19 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Stafford averaged 20.8 points with a simulated floor of 8.4 and a ceiling of 38.3, and he holds 13% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. The Rams are a 12.5-point favorite at home against Arizona, with an implied team total of 32.5 in a game totaled at 52.5.
Value: Jalon Daniels, TB vs PIT ($4,800)
Jalon Daniels projects for 17.6 DraftKings points at $4,800, which works out to 3.67 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 19 quarterbacks the model projects for 15 or more points. The model includes 7.2 rushing attempts. Across 10,000 simulations Daniels averaged 17.6 points with a simulated floor of 6.9 and a ceiling of 32.5, and he holds 6% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Tampa Bay is a 3-point underdog at home against Pittsburgh, with an implied team total of 18.75 in a game totaled at 40.5.
Running backs: Week 6 DraftKings projections
Kenneth Walker III, KC vs LAC ($8,500)
Kenneth Walker III carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 25.3 DraftKings points at $8,500, the highest on the entire main slate. That is 0.2 points clear of Bijan Robinson. The model gives him 20.1 carries and 4.2 targets. The salary works out to 2.97 projected points per $1,000, 2nd of 21 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Walker averaged 25.2 points with a simulated floor of 13.0 and a ceiling of 41.5, and he holds 40% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Kansas City is an 8.5-point favorite at home against the Chargers, with an implied team total of 25.5 in a game totaled at 42.5.
Bijan Robinson, ATL vs CHI ($8,700)
Bijan Robinson projects 2nd at the position with 25.0 DraftKings points at $8,700, 2nd on the main slate overall. The model gives him 17.2 carries and 5.0 targets. The salary works out to 2.88 projected points per $1,000, 3rd of 21 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Robinson averaged 24.9 points with a simulated floor of 13.2 and a ceiling of 40.5, and he holds 27% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Atlanta is a 3-point underdog at home against Chicago, with an implied team total of 23.25 in a game totaled at 49.5.
Kyren Williams, LAR vs ARI ($6,800)
Kyren Williams projects 3rd at the position with 24.4 DraftKings points at $6,800, 3rd on the main slate overall. The model gives him 17.9 carries and 4.4 targets. The salary works out to 3.59 projected points per $1,000, 1st of 21 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Williams averaged 24.5 points with a simulated floor of 12.8 and a ceiling of 40.6, and he holds 53% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. The Rams are a 12.5-point favorite at home against Arizona, with an implied team total of 32.5 in a game totaled at 52.5.
Value: Bucky Irving, TB vs PIT ($6,200)
Bucky Irving projects for 14.4 DraftKings points at $6,200, which works out to 2.33 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 21 running backs the model projects for 9 or more points. The model gives him 12.8 carries and 3.5 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Irving averaged 14.4 points with a simulated floor of 4.7 and a ceiling of 29.1, and he holds 3% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Tampa Bay is a 3-point underdog at home against Pittsburgh, with an implied team total of 18.75 in a game totaled at 40.5.
Wide receivers: Week 6 DraftKings projections
Puka Nacua, LAR vs ARI ($8,100)
Puka Nacua carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 18.0 DraftKings points at $8,100. That is 1.0 points clear of Chris Olave. The model gives him 7.8 targets on 26.1 routes. The salary works out to 2.22 projected points per $1,000, 7th of 25 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Nacua averaged 18.0 points with a simulated floor of 6.6 and a ceiling of 37.7, and he holds 22% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. The Rams are a 12.5-point favorite at home against Arizona, with an implied team total of 32.5 in a game totaled at 52.5.
Chris Olave, NO at NYG ($7,600)
Chris Olave projects 2nd at the position with 17.0 DraftKings points at $7,600. The model gives him 9.6 targets on 36.7 routes. The salary works out to 2.24 projected points per $1,000, 5th of 25 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Olave averaged 17.0 points with a simulated floor of 5.6 and a ceiling of 36.1, and he holds 17% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. New Orleans is a 1.5-point underdog on the road against the Giants, with an implied team total of 22 in a game totaled at 45.5.
Drake London, ATL vs CHI ($7,000)
Drake London projects 3rd at the position with 15.3 DraftKings points at $7,000. The model gives him 7.8 targets on 24.3 routes. The current projection of 15.3 compares with a saved model baseline of 14.6. The salary works out to 2.19 projected points per $1,000, 10th of 25 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations London averaged 15.1 points with a simulated floor of 4.2 and a ceiling of 36.0, and he holds 16% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Atlanta is a 3-point underdog at home against Chicago, with an implied team total of 23.25 in a game totaled at 49.5.
Value: Wan'Dale Robinson, TEN at IND ($4,500)
Wan'Dale Robinson projects for 11.1 DraftKings points at $4,500, which works out to 2.46 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 25 wide receivers the model projects for 9 or more points. The model gives him 6.9 targets on 31.1 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Robinson averaged 11.1 points with a simulated floor of 4.0 and a ceiling of 23.1, and he holds 11% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Tennessee is a 7-point underdog on the road against Indianapolis, with an implied team total of 18.75 in a game totaled at 44.5.
Tight ends: Week 6 DraftKings projections
Trey McBride, ARI at LAR ($7,200)
Trey McBride carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 18.2 DraftKings points at $7,200. That is 4.0 points clear of Brock Bowers. The model gives him 10.7 targets on 41.2 routes. The salary works out to 2.52 projected points per $1,000, 3rd of 14 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations McBride averaged 18.1 points with a simulated floor of 6.7 and a ceiling of 37.2, and he holds 15% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Arizona is a 12.5-point underdog on the road against the Rams, with an implied team total of 20 in a game totaled at 52.5.
Brock Bowers, LV vs BUF ($7,500)
Brock Bowers projects 2nd at the position with 14.2 DraftKings points at $7,500. The model gives him 7.4 targets on 27.3 routes. The salary works out to 1.90 projected points per $1,000, 13th of 14 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Bowers averaged 14.1 points with a simulated floor of 4.8 and a ceiling of 30.2, and he holds 5% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Las Vegas is a 5.5-point underdog at home against Buffalo, with an implied team total of 24 in a game totaled at 53.5.
Value: Cade Otton, TB vs PIT ($3,300)
Cade Otton projects for 8.8 DraftKings points at $3,300, which works out to 2.65 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 14 tight ends the model projects for 7 or more points. The model gives him 5.4 targets on 29.5 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Otton averaged 8.8 points with a simulated floor of 1.0 and a ceiling of 25.4, and he holds 10% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Tampa Bay is a 3-point underdog at home against Pittsburgh, with an implied team total of 18.75 in a game totaled at 40.5.
Defenses: Week 6 DraftKings projections
Chiefs, KC vs LAC ($3,600)
Chiefs carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 7.6 DraftKings points at $3,600. That is 0.3 points clear of Rams. The salary works out to 2.11 projected points per $1,000, 3rd of 8 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Chiefs averaged 7.6 points with a simulated floor of -0.1 and a ceiling of 16.6, and it holds 6% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Kansas City is an 8.5-point favorite at home against the Chargers, with an implied team total of 25.5 in a game totaled at 42.5.
Value: Giants, NYG vs NO ($2,800)
Giants projects for 6.2 DraftKings points at $2,800, which works out to 2.22 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 8 defenses the model projects for 6 or more points. Across 10,000 simulations Giants averaged 6.3 points with a simulated floor of 0.0 and a ceiling of 15.6, and it holds 7% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. The Giants are a 1.5-point favorite at home against New Orleans, with an implied team total of 23.5 in a game totaled at 45.5.
Current boards on their own pages: QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · DST rankings · Value plays
The sim's favorite plays
The main slate was simulated 10,000 times against a modeled DraftKings field. These five players hold the most winning-lineup credit.
| Player | Team | Pos | Salary | Winning-lineup credit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams | LAR | RB | $6,800 | 53% |
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | RB | $8,500 | 40% |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | RB | $8,000 | 28% |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | RB | $8,700 | 27% |
| James Cook III | BUF | RB | $7,400 | 25% |
Week 6 NFL DFS stack to build around (DraftKings)
Of the quarterback stacks in Chris Spags' Week 6 main-slate pool with at least 50 simulated lineups, this one had the strongest simulated return, weighted by how many lineups back it: the 120 lineups built on it cashed 26.4% of the time across 10,000 simulations.
| Role | Player | Team | Pos | Salary | SPAGS proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Jalon Daniels | TB | QB | $4,800 | 17.6 |
| Stack | Chris Godwin Jr. | TB | WR | $4,400 | 8.3 |
| Stack total | $9,200 | 25.9 |
That leaves $40,800 of the $50,000 cap for the other 7 roster spots.
Every Top Stack ranked by simulated return is in the Splash Play NFL tool for members, and complete lineups with one-click DraftKings export come with Apex. See plans →
Week 6 game totals, spreads and implied points
BUF at LV carries the highest total on the slate at 53.5. The Rams are the biggest favorite, laying 12.5 against Arizona. The three highest implied team totals belong to LAR (32.5), BUF (29.5) and CHI (26.25). Lines are as of October 13, 11:14 AM ET and move before lock.
| Game | Total | Favorite | Implied points |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF @ LV | 53.5 | BUF -5.5 | BUF 29.5 · LV 24 |
| ARI @ LAR | 52.5 | LAR -12.5 | ARI 20 · LAR 32.5 |
| CHI @ ATL | 49.5 | CHI -3 | CHI 26.25 · ATL 23.25 |
| NO @ NYG | 45.5 | NYG -1.5 | NO 22 · NYG 23.5 |
| TEN @ IND | 44.5 | IND -7 | TEN 18.75 · IND 25.75 |
| NYJ @ NE | 43.5 | NE -7.5 | NYJ 18 · NE 25.5 |
| LAC @ KC | 42.5 | KC -8.5 | LAC 17 · KC 25.5 |
| CAR @ PHI | 41.5 | PHI -1.5 | CAR 20 · PHI 21.5 |
| BAL @ CLE | 40.5 | BAL -4.5 | BAL 22.5 · CLE 18 |
| PIT @ TB | 40.5 | PIT -3 | PIT 21.75 · TB 18.75 |
Full Week 6 NFL DFS projections by position (DraftKings)
Every SPAGS model projection at each position for the Week 6 DraftKings main slate, ranked by projected points, from the October 13, 11:14 AM ET run.
Week 6 quarterback projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Allen | BUF at LV | $7,500 | 22.8 | 3.04 |
| 2 | Matthew Stafford | LAR vs ARI | $6,400 | 20.8 | 3.24 |
| 3 | Drake Maye | NE vs NYJ | $6,600 | 20.4 | 3.10 |
| 4 | Caleb Williams | CHI at ATL | $6,200 | 19.4 | 3.13 |
| 5 | Patrick Mahomes | KC vs LAC | $6,500 | 19.0 | 2.93 |
| 6 | Tyler Shough | NO at NYG | $5,600 | 18.6 | 3.33 |
| 7 | Jalen Hurts | PHI vs CAR | $6,100 | 18.3 | 3.00 |
| 8 | Jacoby Brissett | ARI at LAR | $5,800 | 18.0 | 3.11 |
| 9 | Deshaun Watson | CLE vs BAL | $4,900 | 17.8 | 3.62 |
| 10 | Kirk Cousins | LV vs BUF | $5,400 | 17.8 | 3.29 |
| 11 | Daniel Jones | IND vs TEN | $5,200 | 17.7 | 3.41 |
| 12 | Jalon Daniels | TB vs PIT | $4,800 | 17.6 | 3.67 |
| 13 | Lamar Jackson | BAL at CLE | $6,700 | 17.3 | 2.59 |
| 14 | Bryce Young | CAR at PHI | $5,700 | 16.4 | 2.87 |
| 15 | Michael Penix Jr. | ATL vs CHI | $5,000 | 16.3 | 3.27 |
| 16 | Justin Herbert | LAC at KC | $5,000 | 16.1 | 3.22 |
Week 6 running back projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenneth Walker III | KC vs LAC | $8,500 | 25.3 | 2.97 |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL vs CHI | $8,700 | 25.0 | 2.88 |
| 3 | Kyren Williams | LAR vs ARI | $6,800 | 24.4 | 3.59 |
| 4 | Jonathan Taylor | IND vs TEN | $8,000 | 22.7 | 2.84 |
| 5 | James Cook III | BUF at LV | $7,400 | 19.5 | 2.64 |
| 6 | Derrick Henry | BAL at CLE | $8,200 | 18.8 | 2.29 |
| 7 | Ashton Jeanty | LV vs BUF | $6,500 | 17.3 | 2.66 |
| 8 | Jaylen Warren | PIT at TB | $7,000 | 17.0 | 2.43 |
| 9 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR at PHI | $6,300 | 16.2 | 2.57 |
| 10 | Bucky Irving | TB vs PIT | $6,200 | 14.4 | 2.33 |
| 11 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE vs NYJ | $6,000 | 13.3 | 2.22 |
| 12 | D'Andre Swift | CHI at ATL | $6,700 | 12.4 | 1.85 |
| 13 | Quinshon Judkins | CLE vs BAL | $5,500 | 12.3 | 2.23 |
| 14 | Cam Skattebo | NYG vs NO | $5,800 | 11.8 | 2.03 |
| 15 | Breece Hall | NYJ at NE | $5,900 | 10.7 | 1.82 |
| 16 | Tony Pollard | TEN at IND | $5,400 | 10.4 | 1.94 |
| 17 | TreVeyon Henderson | NE vs NYJ | $5,000 | 10.1 | 2.02 |
| 18 | Saquon Barkley | PHI vs CAR | $6,600 | 9.9 | 1.50 |
| 19 | Kyle Monangai | CHI at ATL | $5,200 | 9.7 | 1.87 |
| 20 | Omarion Hampton | LAC at KC | $5,300 | 9.7 | 1.84 |
| 21 | Jeremiyah Love | ARI at LAR | $5,600 | 9.2 | 1.64 |
| 22 | Alvin Kamara | NO at NYG | $5,100 | 8.8 | 1.73 |
| 23 | Dameon Pierce | PHI vs CAR | $5,100 | 8.8 | 1.73 |
| 24 | Blake Corum | LAR vs ARI | $4,800 | 8.8 | 1.83 |
| 25 | Braelon Allen | NYJ at NE | $5,700 | 8.7 | 1.53 |
| 26 | Brian Robinson Jr. | ATL vs CHI | $4,700 | 7.9 | 1.68 |
| 27 | Rico Dowdle | PIT at TB | $4,700 | 7.8 | 1.66 |
| 28 | Kenny Gainwell | TB vs PIT | $4,400 | 7.5 | 1.71 |
| 29 | Tyjae Spears | TEN at IND | $4,900 | 7.4 | 1.51 |
| 30 | Keaton Mitchell | LAC at KC | $4,300 | 7.2 | 1.68 |
| 31 | Tyler Allgeier | ARI at LAR | $4,800 | 6.9 | 1.45 |
| 32 | Kendre Miller | NO at NYG | $4,600 | 6.8 | 1.47 |
Week 6 wide receiver projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puka Nacua | LAR vs ARI | $8,100 | 18.0 | 2.22 |
| 2 | Chris Olave | NO at NYG | $7,600 | 17.0 | 2.24 |
| 3 | Drake London | ATL vs CHI | $7,000 | 15.3 | 2.19 |
| 4 | Michael Wilson | ARI at LAR | $6,700 | 14.7 | 2.20 |
| 5 | Malik Nabers | NYG vs NO | $6,500 | 13.5 | 2.08 |
| 6 | DK Metcalf | PIT at TB | $5,700 | 13.3 | 2.33 |
| 7 | Davante Adams | LAR vs ARI | $6,600 | 12.9 | 1.96 |
| 8 | Tetairoa McMillan | CAR at PHI | $7,300 | 12.6 | 1.72 |
| 9 | Carnell Tate | TEN at IND | $5,000 | 12.3 | 2.45 |
| 10 | Luther Burden III | CHI at ATL | $5,400 | 11.6 | 2.15 |
| 11 | DeVonta Smith | PHI vs CAR | $6,900 | 11.3 | 1.64 |
| 12 | Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN at IND | $4,500 | 11.1 | 2.46 |
| 13 | Zay Flowers | BAL at CLE | $7,100 | 10.9 | 1.53 |
| 14 | Rashee Rice | KC vs LAC | $6,400 | 10.7 | 1.67 |
| 15 | Khalil Shakir | BUF at LV | $5,300 | 10.6 | 1.99 |
| 16 | Emeka Egbuka | TB vs PIT | $5,200 | 10.5 | 2.02 |
| 17 | Jalen Coker | CAR at PHI | $5,900 | 10.4 | 1.77 |
| 18 | Devaughn Vele | NO at NYG | $5,100 | 10.2 | 2.00 |
| 19 | Romeo Doubs | NE vs NYJ | $5,200 | 10.2 | 1.96 |
| 20 | Xavier Worthy | KC vs LAC | $4,600 | 10.1 | 2.20 |
| 21 | Keenan Allen | IND vs TEN | $4,300 | 10.1 | 2.35 |
| 22 | Denzel Boston | CLE vs BAL | $5,500 | 10.1 | 1.84 |
| 23 | Josh Downs | IND vs TEN | $5,800 | 10.1 | 1.74 |
| 24 | KC Concepcion Jr. | CLE vs BAL | $4,200 | 9.4 | 2.24 |
| 25 | Rome Odunze | CHI at ATL | $4,900 | 9.0 | 1.84 |
| 26 | Garrett Wilson | NYJ at NE | $6,800 | 8.9 | 1.31 |
| 27 | Tre Tucker | LV vs BUF | $4,700 | 8.9 | 1.89 |
| 28 | DeMario Douglas | NE vs NYJ | $4,200 | 8.7 | 2.07 |
| 29 | Quentin Johnston | LAC at KC | $5,000 | 8.6 | 1.73 |
| 30 | Chris Godwin Jr. | TB vs PIT | $4,400 | 8.3 | 1.90 |
| 31 | Kalif Raymond | CHI at ATL | $3,900 | 8.3 | 2.13 |
| 32 | Ladd McConkey | LAC at KC | $5,300 | 7.8 | 1.47 |
| 33 | Kendrick Bourne | ARI at LAR | $4,000 | 7.5 | 1.87 |
| 34 | Keon Coleman | BUF at LV | $4,900 | 7.5 | 1.52 |
| 35 | Germie Bernard | PIT at TB | $4,000 | 7.3 | 1.83 |
| 36 | Skyler Bell | BUF at LV | $3,000 | 7.2 | 2.39 |
| 37 | Dontayvion Wicks | PHI vs CAR | $5,100 | 6.9 | 1.36 |
| 38 | Adonai Mitchell | NYJ at NE | $4,500 | 5.9 | 1.30 |
| 39 | Ted Hurst III | TB vs PIT | $3,000 | 5.8 | 1.93 |
| 40 | Rashod Bateman | BAL at CLE | $3,900 | 5.7 | 1.45 |
Week 6 tight end projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey McBride | ARI at LAR | $7,200 | 18.2 | 2.52 |
| 2 | Brock Bowers | LV vs BUF | $7,500 | 14.2 | 1.90 |
| 3 | Isaiah Likely | NYG vs NO | $4,800 | 12.5 | 2.60 |
| 4 | Tyler Warren | IND vs TEN | $5,300 | 12.0 | 2.27 |
| 5 | Travis Kelce | KC vs LAC | $5,500 | 11.4 | 2.07 |
| 6 | Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE vs BAL | $4,100 | 10.3 | 2.50 |
| 7 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT at TB | $4,400 | 10.1 | 2.30 |
| 8 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF at LV | $5,100 | 9.9 | 1.95 |
| 9 | Juwan Johnson | NO at NYG | $4,500 | 9.4 | 2.09 |
| 10 | Mark Andrews | BAL at CLE | $4,200 | 9.2 | 2.20 |
| 11 | Cade Otton | TB vs PIT | $3,300 | 8.8 | 2.65 |
| 12 | Colston Loveland | CHI at ATL | $4,300 | 8.0 | 1.85 |
| 13 | Hunter Henry | NE vs NYJ | $4,000 | 7.9 | 1.98 |
| 14 | Tyler Higbee | LAR vs ARI | $3,400 | 7.3 | 2.14 |
| 15 | Darren Waller | CAR at PHI | $3,600 | 6.8 | 1.90 |
| 16 | Kyle Pitts Sr. | ATL vs CHI | $3,700 | 6.8 | 1.85 |
Week 6 defense projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiefs | KC vs LAC | $3,600 | 7.6 | 2.11 |
| 2 | Rams | LAR vs ARI | $3,800 | 7.3 | 1.92 |
| 3 | Patriots | NE vs NYJ | $3,500 | 7.2 | 2.05 |
| 4 | Steelers | PIT at TB | $3,300 | 6.9 | 2.08 |
| 5 | Ravens | BAL at CLE | $3,200 | 6.8 | 2.11 |
| 6 | Colts | IND vs TEN | $3,400 | 6.6 | 1.95 |
| 7 | Giants | NYG vs NO | $2,800 | 6.2 | 2.22 |
| 8 | Eagles | PHI vs CAR | $3,000 | 6.0 | 2.00 |
| 9 | Bears | CHI at ATL | $2,700 | 5.6 | 2.09 |
| 10 | Buccaneers | TB vs PIT | $2,600 | 5.6 | 2.16 |
| 11 | Panthers | CAR at PHI | $2,500 | 5.6 | 2.24 |
| 12 | Saints | NO at NYG | $2,600 | 5.4 | 2.08 |
Floors, ceilings, simulated win rates, ownership and one-click DraftKings and FanDuel exports for every player are in the Splash Play NFL tool. Open the NFL DFS tool →
NFL DFS Week 6 projections FAQ
Who has the highest NFL DFS projection for Week 6?
Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB) has the highest SPAGS model projection on the Week 6 DraftKings main slate at 25.3 points for $8,500, as of October 13, 11:14 AM ET.
Who is the top quarterback projection for Week 6 on DraftKings?
Josh Allen leads the Week 6 quarterbacks at 22.8 projected DraftKings points for $7,500, at LV.
What is the best NFL DFS stack for Week 6?
Build around Jalon Daniels with Chris Godwin Jr.. Among quarterback stacks with at least 50 lineups in Chris Spags' simulated Week 6 pool, it had the strongest simulated return, weighted by how many lineups back it, cashing 26.4% of the time. The two players cost $9,200.
What is the best NFL DFS value play for Week 6?
Among players projected for at least 10 points, Jalon Daniels (QB, $4,800) returns the most projected points per $1,000 of salary at 3.67, projected for 17.6.
Which game has the highest total in NFL Week 6?
BUF at LV has the highest total on the Week 6 DraftKings main slate at 53.5 points, as of October 13, 11:14 AM ET. Lines move before lock.
Where can I get DraftKings NFL DFS projections and simulations?
Splash Play, built by Chris Spags, offers DraftKings NFL DFS projections, simulation results and lineup tools. The weekly articles include free SPAGS projections. VIP opens the in-app SPAGS projection table, CSV exports and simulation results. Apex adds lineup browsing and portfolio building for your entries, player-exposure review and DraftKings or FanDuel export. Squirt Squad includes matchup research. Player search and historical stats are free. Compare Splash Play plans →
How are the SPAGS NFL DFS projections made?
SPAGS projections come from the Splash Play NFL model, built by Chris Spags from player workload, efficiency and game environment. The slate is then simulated 10,000 times against a modeled DraftKings field to measure winning-lineup credit.
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