NFL DFS Projections Week 9: DraftKings Picks, Values and Sim Plays
Who are the top DraftKings NFL DFS plays in Week 9?
Jahmyr Gibbs carries the highest SPAGS model projection on the Week 9 DraftKings main slate: 31.9 DraftKings points at $10,000. He also holds 43% of the simulated winning-lineup credit across 10,000 simulations, more than any other player on the slate, with Kenneth Walker III second at 37% for $9,000.
Behind Gibbs, the model's next four projections are Kenneth Walker III (26.8, $9,000), Puka Nacua (23.6, $8,800), Brock Purdy (21.1, $6,800) and Kyren Williams (21.1, $7,600). Jahmyr Gibbs returns the most per dollar of that group at 3.19 projected points per $1,000. Puka Nacua leads the wide receivers at 23.6 for $8,800, Brock Purdy leads the quarterbacks at 21.1 for $6,800, and Trey McBride leads the tight ends at 19.1 for $7,700.
The 11-game slate runs from a 51.5-point total in DAL at IND down to 39.5 in NYG at PHI. Every projection below is a SPAGS model estimate from the November 3, 12:36 PM ET run of the Splash Play NFL model. Winning-lineup credit comes from 10,000 simulations of the contest, and tied winning entries share credit. A player's simulated floor is his 10th-percentile score and his ceiling is his 95th.
Chris Spags' latest NFL DFS breakdown on the Splash Play NFL channel.
Top 5 SPAGS model projections for Week 9 (DraftKings)
| Player | Team | Pos | Salary | SPAGS model proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | RB | $10,000 | 31.9 |
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | RB | $9,000 | 26.8 |
| Puka Nacua | LAR | WR | $8,800 | 23.6 |
| Brock Purdy | SF | QB | $6,800 | 21.1 |
| Kyren Williams | LAR | RB | $7,600 | 21.1 |
Quarterbacks: Week 9 DraftKings projections
Brock Purdy, SF vs LV ($6,800)
Brock Purdy carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 21.1 DraftKings points at $6,800, the 4th-highest on the entire main slate. That is 0.6 points clear of Drake Maye. The model includes 4.0 rushing attempts. The salary works out to 3.10 projected points per $1,000, 12th of 21 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Purdy averaged 21.1 points with a simulated floor of 8.5 and a ceiling of 38.5, and he holds 8% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. San Francisco is a 10-point favorite at home against Las Vegas, with an implied team total of 30.75 in a game totaled at 51.5.
Drake Maye, NE vs GB ($7,000)
Drake Maye projects 2nd at the position with 20.5 DraftKings points at $7,000. The model includes 5.2 rushing attempts. The salary works out to 2.93 projected points per $1,000, 18th of 21 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Maye averaged 20.5 points with a simulated floor of 7.5 and a ceiling of 37.3, and he holds 8% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. New England is a 2.5-point favorite at home against Green Bay, with an implied team total of 24.5 in a game totaled at 46.5.
Value: Daniel Jones, IND vs DAL ($4,700)
Daniel Jones projects for 17.2 DraftKings points at $4,700, which works out to 3.66 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 21 quarterbacks the model projects for 15 or more points. Across 10,000 simulations Jones averaged 17.2 points with a simulated floor of 6.7 and a ceiling of 31.4, and he holds 5% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Indianapolis is a 6-point underdog at home against Dallas, with an implied team total of 22.75 in a game totaled at 51.5.
Running backs: Week 9 DraftKings projections
Jahmyr Gibbs, DET at MIA ($10,000)
Jahmyr Gibbs carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 31.9 DraftKings points at $10,000, the highest on the entire main slate. That is 5.1 points clear of Kenneth Walker III. The model gives him 23.0 carries and 5.3 targets. The salary works out to 3.19 projected points per $1,000, 1st of 21 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Gibbs averaged 31.7 points with a simulated floor of 19.0 and a ceiling of 48.3, and he holds 43% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Detroit is a 7-point favorite on the road against Miami, with an implied team total of 28.75 in a game totaled at 50.5.
Kenneth Walker III, KC vs NYJ ($9,000)
Kenneth Walker III projects 2nd at the position with 26.8 DraftKings points at $9,000, 2nd on the main slate overall. The model gives him 21.5 carries and 3.9 targets. The salary works out to 2.98 projected points per $1,000, 2nd of 21 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Walker averaged 26.7 points with a simulated floor of 14.3 and a ceiling of 43.9, and he holds 37% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Kansas City is a 9.5-point favorite at home against the Jets, with an implied team total of 28 in a game totaled at 46.5.
Kyren Williams, LAR at WAS ($7,600)
Kyren Williams projects 3rd at the position with 21.1 DraftKings points at $7,600, 5th on the main slate overall. The model gives him 15.6 carries and 4.6 targets. The salary works out to 2.77 projected points per $1,000, 4th of 21 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Williams averaged 21.0 points with a simulated floor of 8.8 and a ceiling of 39.2, and he holds 27% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. The Rams are a 5.5-point favorite on the road against Washington, with an implied team total of 26.5 in a game totaled at 47.5.
Value: Cam Skattebo, NYG at PHI ($5,600)
Cam Skattebo projects for 16.4 DraftKings points at $5,600, which works out to 2.92 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 21 running backs the model projects for 9 or more points. The model gives him 19.9 carries and 2.0 targets. Across 10,000 simulations Skattebo averaged 16.5 points with a simulated floor of 6.4 and a ceiling of 33.2, and he holds 17% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. The Giants are a 3.5-point favorite on the road against Philadelphia, with an implied team total of 21.5 in a game totaled at 39.5.
Wide receivers: Week 9 DraftKings projections
Puka Nacua, LAR at WAS ($8,800)
Puka Nacua carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 23.6 DraftKings points at $8,800, the 3rd-highest on the entire main slate. That is 4.1 points clear of Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The model gives him 10.7 targets on 30.6 routes. The salary works out to 2.68 projected points per $1,000, 1st of 27 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Nacua averaged 23.6 points with a simulated floor of 9.8 and a ceiling of 49.2, and he holds 20% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. The Rams are a 5.5-point favorite on the road against Washington, with an implied team total of 26.5 in a game totaled at 47.5.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, SEA vs ARI ($9,300)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba projects 2nd at the position with 19.5 DraftKings points at $9,300. The model gives him 8.6 targets on 24.7 routes. The salary works out to 2.09 projected points per $1,000, 14th of 27 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Smith-Njigba averaged 19.4 points with a simulated floor of 6.0 and a ceiling of 44.8, and he holds 8% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Seattle is a 10.5-point favorite at home against Arizona, with an implied team total of 26.5 in a game totaled at 42.5.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET at MIA ($8,100)
Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 3rd at the position with 18.7 DraftKings points at $8,100. The model gives him 9.3 targets on 29.7 routes. The salary works out to 2.30 projected points per $1,000, 3rd of 27 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Brown averaged 18.6 points with a simulated floor of 5.7 and a ceiling of 41.6, and he holds 15% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Detroit is a 7-point favorite on the road against Miami, with an implied team total of 28.75 in a game totaled at 50.5.
Value: Malik Washington, MIA vs DET ($4,700)
Malik Washington projects for 10.7 DraftKings points at $4,700, which works out to 2.28 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 27 wide receivers the model projects for 9 or more points. The model gives him 5.8 targets on 21.9 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Washington averaged 10.8 points with a simulated floor of 2.9 and a ceiling of 24.5, and he holds 8% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Miami is a 7-point underdog at home against Detroit, with an implied team total of 21.75 in a game totaled at 50.5.
Tight ends: Week 9 DraftKings projections
Trey McBride, ARI at SEA ($7,700)
Trey McBride carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 19.1 DraftKings points at $7,700. That is 3.8 points clear of Brock Bowers. The model gives him 11.5 targets on 41.7 routes. The salary works out to 2.48 projected points per $1,000, 3rd of 16 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations McBride averaged 19.0 points with a simulated floor of 4.9 and a ceiling of 45.8, and he holds 6% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Arizona is a 10.5-point underdog on the road against Seattle, with an implied team total of 16 in a game totaled at 42.5.
Brock Bowers, LV at SF ($7,900)
Brock Bowers projects 2nd at the position with 15.3 DraftKings points at $7,900. The model gives him 8.4 targets on 32.8 routes. The salary works out to 1.94 projected points per $1,000, 14th of 16 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Bowers averaged 15.4 points with a simulated floor of 3.2 and a ceiling of 41.6, and he holds 3% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Las Vegas is a 10-point underdog on the road against San Francisco, with an implied team total of 20.75 in a game totaled at 51.5.
Value: Greg Dulcich, MIA vs DET ($3,100)
Greg Dulcich projects for 8.9 DraftKings points at $3,100, which works out to 2.88 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 16 tight ends the model projects for 7 or more points. The model gives him 4.4 targets on 18.5 routes. Across 10,000 simulations Dulcich averaged 8.9 points with a simulated floor of 0.0 and a ceiling of 30.9, and he holds 18% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Miami is a 7-point underdog at home against Detroit, with an implied team total of 21.75 in a game totaled at 50.5.
Defenses: Week 9 DraftKings projections
Seahawks, SEA vs ARI ($3,800)
Seahawks carries the highest SPAGS model projection at the position, 8.6 DraftKings points at $3,800. That is 0.9 points clear of Texans. The salary works out to 2.26 projected points per $1,000, 4th of 9 at the position. Across 10,000 simulations Seahawks averaged 8.7 points with a simulated floor of 0.0 and a ceiling of 15.6, and it holds 2% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Seattle is a 10.5-point favorite at home against Arizona, with an implied team total of 26.5 in a game totaled at 42.5.
Value: Eagles, PHI vs NYG ($2,500)
Eagles projects for 6.3 DraftKings points at $2,500, which works out to 2.52 points per $1,000 of salary. That is the best rate of any player priced in the cheaper half of the 9 defenses the model projects for 6 or more points. Across 10,000 simulations Eagles averaged 6.5 points with a simulated floor of 0.0 and a ceiling of 16.8, and it holds 8% of the simulated winning-lineup credit. Philadelphia is a 3.5-point underdog at home against the Giants, with an implied team total of 18 in a game totaled at 39.5.
Current boards on their own pages: All projections · QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · DST rankings · Value plays · Player pages
The sim's favorite plays
The main slate was simulated 10,000 times against a modeled DraftKings field. These five players hold the most winning-lineup credit.
| Player | Team | Pos | Salary | Winning-lineup credit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | RB | $10,000 | 43% |
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | RB | $9,000 | 37% |
| Cardinals | ARI | DST | $2,000 | 31% |
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | RB | $8,000 | 27% |
| Kyren Williams | LAR | RB | $7,600 | 27% |
Week 9 NFL DFS stack to build around (DraftKings)
Of the quarterback stacks in Chris Spags' Week 9 main-slate pool with at least 50 simulated lineups, this one had the strongest simulated return, weighted by how many lineups back it: the 180 lineups built on it cashed 31.5% of the time across 10,000 simulations.
| Role | Player | Team | Pos | Salary | SPAGS proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Malik Willis | MIA | QB | $5,100 | 18.4 |
| Stack | Malik Washington | MIA | WR | $4,700 | 10.7 |
| Bring-back | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | RB | $10,000 | 31.9 |
| Stack total | $19,800 | 61.1 |
That leaves $30,200 of the $50,000 cap for the other 6 roster spots.
Every Top Stack ranked by simulated return is in the Splash Play NFL tool for members, and complete lineups with one-click DraftKings export come with Apex. See plans →
Week 9 game totals, spreads and implied points
DAL at IND carries the highest total on the slate at 51.5. Seattle is the biggest favorite, laying 10.5 against Arizona. The three highest implied team totals belong to SF (30.75), DAL (28.75) and DET (28.75). Lines are as of November 3, 12:36 PM ET and move before lock.
| Game | Total | Favorite | Implied points |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL @ IND | 51.5 | DAL -6 | DAL 28.75 · IND 22.75 |
| LV @ SF | 51.5 | SF -10 | LV 20.75 · SF 30.75 |
| DET @ MIA | 50.5 | DET -7 | DET 28.75 · MIA 21.75 |
| LAR @ WAS | 47.5 | LAR -5.5 | LAR 26.5 · WAS 21 |
| NYJ @ KC | 46.5 | KC -9.5 | NYJ 18.5 · KC 28 |
| GB @ NE | 46.5 | NE -2.5 | GB 22 · NE 24.5 |
| DEN @ CAR | 43.5 | DEN -2.5 | DEN 23 · CAR 20.5 |
| CLE @ NO | 43.5 | NO -2.5 | CLE 20.5 · NO 23 |
| ARI @ SEA | 42.5 | SEA -10.5 | ARI 16 · SEA 26.5 |
| HOU @ LAC | 40.5 | HOU -4.5 | HOU 22.5 · LAC 18 |
| NYG @ PHI | 39.5 | NYG -3.5 | NYG 21.5 · PHI 18 |
Full Week 9 NFL DFS projections by position (DraftKings)
Every SPAGS model projection at each position for the Week 9 DraftKings main slate, ranked by projected points, from the November 3, 12:36 PM ET run.
Week 9 quarterback projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Purdy | SF vs LV | $6,800 | 21.1 | 3.10 |
| 2 | Drake Maye | NE vs GB | $7,000 | 20.5 | 2.93 |
| 3 | Patrick Mahomes | KC vs NYJ | $6,100 | 20.2 | 3.31 |
| 4 | Dak Prescott | DAL at IND | $6,500 | 20.1 | 3.10 |
| 5 | Jayden Daniels | WAS vs LAR | $6,000 | 19.3 | 3.22 |
| 6 | Jared Goff | DET at MIA | $6,600 | 19.0 | 2.88 |
| 7 | Tyler Shough | NO vs CLE | $5,700 | 18.8 | 3.29 |
| 8 | Matthew Stafford | LAR at WAS | $6,200 | 18.5 | 2.98 |
| 9 | Malik Willis | MIA vs DET | $5,100 | 18.4 | 3.62 |
| 10 | Deshaun Watson | CLE at NO | $5,200 | 18.3 | 3.51 |
| 11 | Bo Nix | DEN at CAR | $5,400 | 17.6 | 3.26 |
| 12 | C.J. Stroud | HOU at LAC | $5,900 | 17.5 | 2.96 |
| 13 | Jordan Love | GB at NE | $6,300 | 17.2 | 2.73 |
| 14 | Kirk Cousins | LV at SF | $5,300 | 17.2 | 3.25 |
| 15 | Daniel Jones | IND vs DAL | $4,700 | 17.2 | 3.66 |
| 16 | Justin Herbert | LAC vs HOU | $5,000 | 16.4 | 3.28 |
Week 9 running back projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET at MIA | $10,000 | 31.9 | 3.19 |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | KC vs NYJ | $9,000 | 26.8 | 2.98 |
| 3 | Kyren Williams | LAR at WAS | $7,600 | 21.1 | 2.77 |
| 4 | Christian McCaffrey | SF vs LV | $8,000 | 21.1 | 2.63 |
| 5 | Javonte Williams | DAL at IND | $7,300 | 19.0 | 2.60 |
| 6 | Cam Skattebo | NYG at PHI | $5,600 | 16.4 | 2.92 |
| 7 | Jonathan Taylor | IND vs DAL | $7,500 | 15.8 | 2.11 |
| 8 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR vs DEN | $6,500 | 15.5 | 2.38 |
| 9 | Ashton Jeanty | LV at SF | $5,900 | 14.6 | 2.47 |
| 10 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE vs GB | $6,100 | 12.4 | 2.03 |
| 11 | Josh Jacobs | GB at NE | $6,800 | 12.3 | 1.81 |
| 12 | Rachaad White | WAS vs LAR | $5,100 | 11.4 | 2.24 |
| 13 | Jonah Coleman | DEN at CAR | $5,300 | 11.1 | 2.09 |
| 14 | Ollie Gordon II | MIA vs DET | $5,600 | 10.4 | 1.87 |
| 15 | Alvin Kamara | NO vs CLE | $5,000 | 10.1 | 2.02 |
| 16 | Woody Marks | HOU at LAC | $5,700 | 9.9 | 1.74 |
| 17 | Saquon Barkley | PHI vs NYG | $6,200 | 9.6 | 1.55 |
| 18 | Braelon Allen | NYJ at KC | $6,300 | 9.6 | 1.53 |
| 19 | Blake Corum | LAR at WAS | $5,100 | 9.5 | 1.86 |
| 20 | Omarion Hampton | LAC vs HOU | $4,800 | 9.5 | 1.97 |
| 21 | Breece Hall | NYJ at KC | $6,000 | 9.4 | 1.56 |
| 22 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN at CAR | $4,800 | 9.0 | 1.87 |
| 23 | Elijah Mitchell | PHI vs NYG | $4,500 | 8.7 | 1.92 |
| 24 | Emanuel Wilson | SEA vs ARI | $5,000 | 8.2 | 1.63 |
| 25 | Quinshon Judkins | CLE at NO | $5,400 | 8.1 | 1.51 |
| 26 | David Montgomery | HOU at LAC | $5,700 | 7.9 | 1.39 |
| 27 | Kendre Miller | NO vs CLE | $4,500 | 7.9 | 1.76 |
| 28 | TreVeyon Henderson | NE vs GB | $4,600 | 7.7 | 1.68 |
| 29 | Devin Singletary | NYG at PHI | $4,600 | 7.5 | 1.64 |
| 30 | Tyler Allgeier | ARI at SEA | $5,400 | 7.4 | 1.36 |
| 31 | Kaelon Black | SF vs LV | $5,500 | 7.2 | 1.31 |
| 32 | Jeremiyah Love | ARI at SEA | $5,200 | 7.1 | 1.36 |
Week 9 wide receiver projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puka Nacua | LAR at WAS | $8,800 | 23.6 | 2.68 |
| 2 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA vs ARI | $9,300 | 19.5 | 2.09 |
| 3 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET at MIA | $8,100 | 18.7 | 2.30 |
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL at IND | $8,300 | 18.1 | 2.18 |
| 5 | Michael Wilson | ARI at SEA | $6,700 | 16.1 | 2.41 |
| 6 | Chris Olave | NO vs CLE | $7,400 | 15.6 | 2.11 |
| 7 | Christian Watson | GB at NE | $7,500 | 15.2 | 2.03 |
| 8 | Matthew Golden | GB at NE | $7,000 | 15.0 | 2.15 |
| 9 | Tetairoa McMillan | CAR vs DEN | $6,900 | 14.3 | 2.07 |
| 10 | Malik Nabers | NYG at PHI | $7,300 | 14.2 | 1.95 |
| 11 | George Pickens | DAL at IND | $6,300 | 12.9 | 2.05 |
| 12 | A.J. Brown | NE vs GB | $5,800 | 12.8 | 2.21 |
| 13 | Stefon Diggs | WAS vs LAR | $5,600 | 12.5 | 2.24 |
| 14 | Nico Collins | HOU at LAC | $7,200 | 12.4 | 1.72 |
| 15 | Jalen Coker | CAR vs DEN | $6,200 | 11.6 | 1.87 |
| 16 | Jaylen Waddle | DEN at CAR | $5,700 | 11.4 | 2.00 |
| 17 | DeVonta Smith | PHI vs NYG | $6,800 | 11.1 | 1.63 |
| 18 | Jameson Williams | DET at MIA | $6,100 | 10.7 | 1.76 |
| 19 | Malik Washington | MIA vs DET | $4,700 | 10.7 | 2.28 |
| 20 | Denzel Boston | CLE at NO | $5,000 | 10.5 | 2.11 |
| 21 | Keenan Allen | IND vs DAL | $4,900 | 10.4 | 2.13 |
| 22 | KC Concepcion Jr. | CLE at NO | $4,600 | 10.2 | 2.22 |
| 23 | Josh Downs | IND vs DAL | $5,100 | 9.8 | 1.92 |
| 24 | Devaughn Vele | NO vs CLE | $5,100 | 9.7 | 1.89 |
| 25 | Rashee Rice | KC vs NYJ | $6,400 | 9.6 | 1.49 |
| 26 | Courtland Sutton | DEN at CAR | $4,400 | 9.4 | 2.15 |
| 27 | Mike Evans | SF vs LV | $6,500 | 9.1 | 1.40 |
| 28 | Ryan Flournoy | DAL at IND | $4,800 | 8.9 | 1.85 |
| 29 | DeMario Douglas | NE vs GB | $4,800 | 8.6 | 1.80 |
| 30 | Xavier Worthy | KC vs NYJ | $4,400 | 8.6 | 1.96 |
| 31 | Garrett Wilson | NYJ at KC | $6,600 | 8.5 | 1.29 |
| 32 | Caleb Douglas | MIA vs DET | $4,200 | 8.5 | 2.02 |
| 33 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | SF vs LV | $5,300 | 8.1 | 1.54 |
| 34 | Tre Tucker | LV at SF | $5,400 | 7.9 | 1.46 |
| 35 | Xavier Hutchinson | HOU at LAC | $4,000 | 7.8 | 1.95 |
| 36 | Antonio Williams | WAS vs LAR | $4,100 | 7.4 | 1.80 |
| 37 | Rashid Shaheed | SEA vs ARI | $4,100 | 6.5 | 1.59 |
| 38 | Cooper Kupp | SEA vs ARI | $3,800 | 6.3 | 1.67 |
| 39 | Quentin Johnston | LAC vs HOU | $4,300 | 6.3 | 1.47 |
| 40 | Malachi Fields | NYG at PHI | $3,700 | 6.1 | 1.65 |
Week 9 tight end projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey McBride | ARI at SEA | $7,700 | 19.1 | 2.48 |
| 2 | Brock Bowers | LV at SF | $7,900 | 15.3 | 1.94 |
| 3 | George Kittle | SF vs LV | $6,000 | 12.5 | 2.08 |
| 4 | Tucker Kraft | GB at NE | $5,500 | 11.5 | 2.09 |
| 5 | Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE at NO | $4,700 | 11.2 | 2.39 |
| 6 | Travis Kelce | KC vs NYJ | $4,900 | 10.6 | 2.16 |
| 7 | Sam LaPorta | DET at MIA | $5,100 | 10.2 | 1.99 |
| 8 | Isaiah Likely | NYG at PHI | $5,000 | 9.9 | 1.99 |
| 9 | Tyler Warren | IND vs DAL | $4,600 | 9.9 | 2.16 |
| 10 | Dalton Schultz | HOU at LAC | $3,200 | 9.0 | 2.81 |
| 11 | Greg Dulcich | MIA vs DET | $3,100 | 8.9 | 2.88 |
| 12 | Juwan Johnson | NO vs CLE | $4,200 | 8.3 | 1.97 |
| 13 | Michael Mayer | LV at SF | $3,400 | 8.1 | 2.38 |
| 14 | Hunter Henry | NE vs GB | $4,500 | 7.8 | 1.73 |
| 15 | Chig Okonkwo | WAS vs LAR | $3,600 | 7.3 | 2.02 |
| 16 | AJ Barner | SEA vs ARI | $3,800 | 7.3 | 1.91 |
Week 9 defense projections
| # | Player | Game | Salary | SPAGS proj | Pts/$1K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seahawks | SEA vs ARI | $3,800 | 8.6 | 2.26 |
| 2 | Texans | HOU at LAC | $3,500 | 7.7 | 2.19 |
| 3 | Chiefs | KC vs NYJ | $3,700 | 7.3 | 1.97 |
| 4 | Giants | NYG at PHI | $2,800 | 6.8 | 2.42 |
| 5 | Saints | NO vs CLE | $2,900 | 6.7 | 2.29 |
| 6 | Broncos | DEN at CAR | $3,000 | 6.4 | 2.14 |
| 7 | Eagles | PHI vs NYG | $2,500 | 6.3 | 2.52 |
| 8 | Rams | LAR at WAS | $3,300 | 6.1 | 1.85 |
| 9 | Lions | DET at MIA | $3,400 | 6.0 | 1.78 |
| 10 | Browns | CLE at NO | $2,700 | 5.9 | 2.20 |
| 11 | Chargers | LAC vs HOU | $2,400 | 5.8 | 2.42 |
| 12 | 49ers | SF vs LV | $3,600 | 5.7 | 1.58 |
Floors, ceilings, simulated win rates, ownership and one-click DraftKings and FanDuel exports for every player are in the Splash Play NFL tool. Open the NFL DFS tool →
NFL DFS Week 9 projections FAQ
Who has the highest NFL DFS projection for Week 9?
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB) has the highest SPAGS model projection on the Week 9 DraftKings main slate at 31.9 points for $10,000, as of November 3, 12:36 PM ET.
Who is the top quarterback projection for Week 9 on DraftKings?
Brock Purdy leads the Week 9 quarterbacks at 21.1 projected DraftKings points for $6,800, vs LV.
What is the best NFL DFS stack for Week 9?
Build around Malik Willis with Malik Washington, bringing it back with Jahmyr Gibbs (DET). Among quarterback stacks with at least 50 lineups in Chris Spags' simulated Week 9 pool, it had the strongest simulated return, weighted by how many lineups back it, cashing 31.5% of the time. The three players cost $19,800.
What is the best NFL DFS value play for Week 9?
Among players projected for at least 10 points, Daniel Jones (QB, $4,700) returns the most projected points per $1,000 of salary at 3.66, projected for 17.2.
Which game has the highest total in NFL Week 9?
DAL at IND has the highest total on the Week 9 DraftKings main slate at 51.5 points, as of November 3, 12:36 PM ET. Lines move before lock.
Where can I get DraftKings NFL DFS projections and simulations?
Splash Play, built by Chris Spags, offers DraftKings NFL DFS projections, simulation results and lineup tools. The weekly articles include free SPAGS projections. VIP opens the in-app SPAGS projection table, CSV exports and simulation results. Apex adds lineup browsing and portfolio building for your entries, player-exposure review and DraftKings or FanDuel export. Squirt Squad includes matchup research. Player search and historical stats are free. Compare Splash Play plans →
How are the SPAGS NFL DFS projections made?
SPAGS projections come from the Splash Play NFL model, built by Chris Spags from player workload, efficiency and game environment. The slate is then simulated 10,000 times against a modeled DraftKings field to measure winning-lineup credit.
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