DraftKings MLB Projections
DraftKings MLB projections are forecasts of how many fantasy points each player scores under DraftKings's scoring rules. They are not interchangeable with FanDuel numbers: DraftKings rosters two pitchers where FanDuel rosters one, and the point values differ. Use a projection built for the site and slate you are entering.
What changes on DraftKings
| On DraftKings | Rule |
|---|---|
| Salary cap | $50,000 |
| Pitchers | Two per lineup |
| Roster effect | Two pitcher slots, so pitching is a larger share of the lineup |
Sites revise their rules. The rules page of the contest you enter is the authority.
Because two pitchers are rostered, pitcher projections drive more of a DraftKings lineup, and the hitters that fit beside two good arms are often the cheaper ones.
The same player, two sites
The difference in MLB is structural more than arithmetic. A DraftKings lineup has two pitchers, so its hitters are chosen with less salary. A FanDuel lineup has one pitcher, a combined C/1B slot and a limit of four hitters from one team. A stack of more than four hitters cannot be entered on FanDuel, and the salaries that make a stack fit are different numbers on each site.
How to read an MLB projection
- Start with the batting order. A hitter's projection assumes a lineup spot, and that spot is often not confirmed until a few hours before first pitch.
- Write "assumed" beside unconfirmed spots. A hitter who drops from second to seventh loses plate appearances and points.
- Read hitters and the opposing starter together. A stack is a bet against one pitcher. If the starter changes, every hitter in the stack changes.
- Check again near lock. Lineups post late, and a number taken in the morning can rest on a batting order that no longer exists.
Where Splash Play's DraftKings numbers come from
SPAGS is Splash Play's projection board. In the MLB tool you choose DraftKings or FanDuel and the slate, and the board shows projections in that site's scoring with that site's salaries. How the projections and simulations work explains the layers behind the numbers, and the update-time guide covers when they change.
Get DraftKings MLB projections
Open the MLB tool, set the site to DraftKings and pick your slate. SPAGS projections and exports are part of Squirt Squad VIP and Apex; compare memberships. Projections are forecasts and do not promise a result.
Questions
What are DraftKings MLB projections?
DraftKings MLB projections are forecasts of each player's fantasy points under DraftKings's scoring rules, for one slate. They are the starting point for comparing players at different salaries.
Can I use FanDuel projections on DraftKings?
No. The scoring differs: DraftKings rosters two pitchers where FanDuel rosters one, and the point values differ. Salaries and roster rules differ too, so a player who is a value on one site may not be on the other.
How often do DraftKings MLB projections change?
Whenever the inputs change: injuries, roles, lineups and salaries. Note the time you took a number, and check again before lock.
Can I export the projections to an optimizer?
Yes. Exports are part of Squirt Squad VIP and Apex. Set the site and slate first, then follow the import guide, which walks through the file using the NFL tool.
Do projections predict what a player will score?
No. A projection is one expected score, and real results spread widely around it. Projections versus outcomes shows how to read the gap.
More by site and sport
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