FanDuel NBA Projections
FanDuel NBA projections are forecasts of how many fantasy points each player scores under FanDuel's scoring rules. They are not interchangeable with DraftKings numbers: the two sites score rebounds, steals, blocks and turnovers differently. Use a projection built for the site and slate you are entering.
What changes on FanDuel
| On FanDuel | Rule |
|---|---|
| Roster | Two point guards, two shooting guards, two small forwards, two power forwards and a center |
| Rebounds | 1.2 points each |
| Steals and blocks | 3 points each |
| Turnovers | 1 point off each |
| Bonuses | None for a double-double |
Sites revise their rules. The rules page of the contest you enter is the authority.
A steal or a block is worth half again what it is on DraftKings, and a turnover costs twice as much. Defensive playmakers gain a little; high-turnover creators lose a little.
The same player, two sites
Take a made-up line: 20 points, 10 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals, 1 block and 3 turnovers. On DraftKings that is 46 fantasy points before any made-three bonus (20 + 12.5 + 7.5 + 4 + 2 - 1.5, plus 1.5 for the double-double). On FanDuel it is 45.5 (20 + 12 + 7.5 + 6 + 3 - 3). The totals are close here. Add two steals and FanDuel moves ahead; add two turnovers and DraftKings does. The stat mix decides which site likes a player more.
How to read an NBA projection
- Start with minutes. A projection is expected production in the minutes a player is expected to play. Ask whether the minutes still hold.
- Reprice the whole team after news. When a player is ruled out, his minutes and shots go to several teammates, not one.
- Check the salary against the news. Salaries are set before late scratches. The gap between an old price and a new role is where the value is.
- Rerun anything built on the old number. A simulation you ran before the news used the old projections.
Where Splash Play's FanDuel numbers come from
SPAGS is Splash Play's projection board. In the NBA tool you choose DraftKings or FanDuel and the slate, and the board shows projections in that site's scoring with that site's salaries. How the projections and simulations work explains the layers behind the numbers, and the update-time guide covers when they change.
Get FanDuel NBA projections
Open the NBA tool, set the site to FanDuel and pick your slate. SPAGS projections and exports are part of Squirt Squad VIP and Apex; compare memberships. Projections are forecasts and do not promise a result.
Questions
What are FanDuel NBA projections?
FanDuel NBA projections are forecasts of each player's fantasy points under FanDuel's scoring rules, for one slate. They are the starting point for comparing players at different salaries.
Can I use DraftKings projections on FanDuel?
No. The scoring differs: the two sites score rebounds, steals, blocks and turnovers differently. Salaries and roster rules differ too, so a player who is a value on one site may not be on the other.
How often do FanDuel NBA projections change?
Whenever the inputs change: injuries, roles, lineups and salaries. Note the time you took a number, and check again before lock.
Can I export the projections to an optimizer?
Yes. Exports are part of Squirt Squad VIP and Apex. Set the site and slate first, then follow the import guide, which walks through the file using the NFL tool.
Do projections predict what a player will score?
No. A projection is one expected score, and real results spread widely around it. Projections versus outcomes shows how to read the gap.
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