FanDuel MLB Projections

By Splash Play Staff · A guide to reading the tools

FanDuel MLB projections are forecasts of how many fantasy points each player scores under FanDuel's scoring rules. They are not interchangeable with DraftKings numbers: DraftKings rosters two pitchers where FanDuel rosters one, and the point values differ. Use a projection built for the site and slate you are entering.

What changes on FanDuel

On FanDuel	Rule
Roster	P, C/1B, 2B, SS, 3B, three OF and a UTIL: nine players under a $35,000 salary cap
Stacking limit	At most four hitters from one team
Hitter scoring	Single 3, double 6, triple 9, home run 12, RBI 3.5, run 3.2, walk 3, stolen base 6
Pitcher scoring	3 per inning, strikeout 3, win 6, quality start 4, earned run -3

Sites revise their rules. The rules page of the contest you enter is the authority.

One pitcher and a combined C/1B slot leave more salary for hitters, and the four-hitter limit caps how far a stack can go. A stack that is legal on one site can be illegal on the other.

The same player, two sites

The difference in MLB is structural more than arithmetic. A DraftKings lineup has two pitchers, so its hitters are chosen with less salary. A FanDuel lineup has one pitcher, a combined C/1B slot and a limit of four hitters from one team. A stack of more than four hitters cannot be entered on FanDuel, and the salaries that make a stack fit are different numbers on each site.

How to read an MLB projection

Start with the batting order. A hitter's projection assumes a lineup spot, and that spot is often not confirmed until a few hours before first pitch.
Write "assumed" beside unconfirmed spots. A hitter who drops from second to seventh loses plate appearances and points.
Read hitters and the opposing starter together. A stack is a bet against one pitcher. If the starter changes, every hitter in the stack changes.
Check again near lock. Lineups post late, and a number taken in the morning can rest on a batting order that no longer exists.

Where Splash Play's FanDuel numbers come from

SPAGS is Splash Play's projection board. In the MLB tool you choose DraftKings or FanDuel and the slate, and the board shows projections in that site's scoring with that site's salaries. How the projections and simulations work explains the layers behind the numbers, and the update-time guide covers when they change.

Get FanDuel MLB projections

Open the MLB tool, set the site to FanDuel and pick your slate. SPAGS projections and exports are part of Squirt Squad VIP and Apex; compare memberships. Projections are forecasts and do not promise a result.

Questions

What are FanDuel MLB projections?

FanDuel MLB projections are forecasts of each player's fantasy points under FanDuel's scoring rules, for one slate. They are the starting point for comparing players at different salaries.

Can I use DraftKings projections on FanDuel?

No. The scoring differs: DraftKings rosters two pitchers where FanDuel rosters one, and the point values differ. Salaries and roster rules differ too, so a player who is a value on one site may not be on the other.

How often do FanDuel MLB projections change?

Whenever the inputs change: injuries, roles, lineups and salaries. Note the time you took a number, and check again before lock.

Can I export the projections to an optimizer?

Yes. Exports are part of Squirt Squad VIP and Apex. Set the site and slate first, then follow the import guide, which walks through the file using the NFL tool.

Do projections predict what a player will score?

No. A projection is one expected score, and real results spread widely around it. Projections versus outcomes shows how to read the gap.

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